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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 4

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

60%

OH Leuven

1.66

25%

Draw

4.00

15%

Dender

6.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.2%

Home win

1 – 1

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.94

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.82

0.88

Dender xG

60%
25%
15%
OH LeuvenDrawDender

1.66

60%

Home win

4.00

25%

Draw

6.78

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.92

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

41%

OH Leuven

2.42

14%

Dender

6.93

Win to Nil

25%

OH Leuven

4.02

2%

Dender

47.02

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 11.5 10.2 4.5 1.3 0.3 0.1
2 11.2 9.9 4.4 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 7.2 6.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
4 3.5 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
5 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.936
λ Away (xG) 0.884
Total xG 2.820
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
OH Leuven attack strength 0.912
OH Leuven defence strength 0.829
Dender attack strength 0.957
Dender defence strength 1.442
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 30