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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 15 Feb 2025

15:00

Venue

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

55%

OH Leuven

1.81

32%

Draw

3.17

13%

Dender

7.60

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.2%

Home win

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.49

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.13

0.64

Dender xG

55%
32%
13%
OH LeuvenDrawDender

1.81

55%

Home win

3.17

32%

Draw

7.60

13%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.56

61%

BTTS No

1.64

Clean Sheet

53%

OH Leuven

1.89

23%

Dender

4.44

Win to Nil

29%

OH Leuven

3.41

3%

Dender

33.78

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 7.6 2.4 0.5 0.1
1 17.8 11.3 3.6 0.8 0.1
2 13.2 8.4 2.7 0.6 0.1
3 6.6 4.2 1.3 0.3
4 2.5 1.6 0.5 0.1
5 0.7 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.491
λ Away (xG) 0.636
Total xG 2.127
League avg home goals 1.539
League avg away goals 1.101
OH Leuven attack strength 0.748
OH Leuven defence strength 0.633
Dender attack strength 0.911
Dender defence strength 1.295
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 25