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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

15:00

Venue

Den Dreef

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

42%

OH Leuven

2.39

34%

Draw

2.97

24%

Charleroi

4.09

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.4%

Home win

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.55

1.09

Charleroi xG

42%
34%
24%
OH LeuvenDrawCharleroi

2.39

42%

Home win

2.97

34%

Draw

4.09

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

34%

OH Leuven

2.97

23%

Charleroi

4.30

Win to Nil

14%

OH Leuven

7.08

6%

Charleroi

17.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 8.5 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
1 11.4 12.4 6.8 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 8.3 9.1 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.1 4.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.459
λ Away (xG) 1.088
Total xG 2.547
League avg home goals 1.448
League avg away goals 1.117
OH Leuven attack strength 0.982
OH Leuven defence strength 0.937
Charleroi attack strength 1.039
Charleroi defence strength 1.026
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 30