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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 1

Kick-off

Fri 28 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

45%

OH Leuven

2.24

31%

Draw

3.18

24%

Charleroi

4.18

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

0 – 0

9.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.39

0.98

Charleroi xG

45%
31%
24%
OH LeuvenDrawCharleroi

2.24

45%

Home win

3.18

31%

Draw

4.18

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

37%

OH Leuven

2.67

24%

Charleroi

4.10

Win to Nil

17%

OH Leuven

5.98

6%

Charleroi

17.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 9.0 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 12.9 12.7 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.1 8.9 4.4 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 4.3 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.411
λ Away (xG) 0.982
Total xG 2.393
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
OH Leuven attack strength 0.902
OH Leuven defence strength 0.810
Charleroi attack strength 1.088
Charleroi defence strength 1.064
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60