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OH Leuven vs Charleroi – Predictions

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 14 Dec 2024

17:15

Venue

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

OH Leuven Win

43%

OH Leuven

2.30

36%

Draw

2.77

20%

Charleroi

4.89

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

OH Leuven xG

Total xG

2.17

0.85

Charleroi xG

43%
36%
20%
OH LeuvenDrawCharleroi

2.30

43%

Home win

2.77

36%

Draw

4.89

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.18

54%

BTTS No

1.84

Clean Sheet

43%

OH Leuven

2.35

27%

Charleroi

3.71

Win to Nil

19%

OH Leuven

5.40

6%

Charleroi

18.18

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.5 9.8 4.2 1.2 0.3
1 15.1 12.8 5.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.9 8.4 3.6 1.0 0.2
3 4.3 3.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.312
λ Away (xG) 0.853
Total xG 2.165
League avg home goals 1.709
League avg away goals 1.001
OH Leuven attack strength 0.753
OH Leuven defence strength 0.847
Charleroi attack strength 1.005
Charleroi defence strength 1.019
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47