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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Thu 23 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Soevereinstadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lommel United Win

37%

Lommel United

2.70

26%

Draw

3.78

37%

Liège

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Lommel United xG

Total xG

2.59

1.29

Liège xG

37%
26%
37%
Lommel UnitedDrawLiège

2.70

37%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

27%

Lommel United

3.64

27%

Liège

3.67

Win to Nil

10%

Lommel United

9.82

10%

Liège

10.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.7 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.2 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 1.291
Total xG 2.592
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.321
Lommel United attack strength 0.850
Lommel United defence strength 1.150
Liège attack strength 0.850
Liège defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 0