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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Final

Kick-off

Sun 17 May 2026

15:00

Venue

Soevereinstadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Dender Win

35%

Lommel United

2.86

28%

Draw

3.55

37%

Dender

2.72

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.5%

Away win

1 – 0

11.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Lommel United xG

Total xG

2.33

1.18

Dender xG

35%
28%
37%
Lommel UnitedDrawDender

2.86

35%

Home win

3.55

28%

Draw

2.72

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.12

53%

BTTS No

1.90

Clean Sheet

31%

Lommel United

3.26

32%

Dender

3.14

Win to Nil

11%

Lommel United

9.31

12%

Dender

8.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.8 11.5 6.8 2.7 0.8 0.2
1 11.2 13.2 7.8 3.1 0.9 0.2
2 6.4 7.6 4.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 2.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.145
λ Away (xG) 1.182
Total xG 2.327
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.321
Lommel United attack strength 0.850
Lommel United defence strength 1.150
Dender attack strength 0.778
Dender defence strength 1.011
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 60