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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Quarter-finals

Kick-off

Mon 27 Apr 2026

19:30

Venue

Stade de Rocourt

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Liège Win

37%

Liège

2.70

26%

Draw

3.78

37%

Lommel United

2.74

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

9.7%

Away win

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Liège xG

Total xG

2.59

1.29

Lommel United xG

37%
26%
37%
LiègeDrawLommel United

2.70

37%

Home win

3.78

26%

Draw

2.74

37%

Away win

Goals Markets

73%

Over 1.5

1.37

27%

Under 1.5

3.70

48%

Over 2.5

2.08

52%

Under 2.5

1.92

26%

Over 3.5

3.85

74%

Under 3.5

1.35

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.90

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

27%

Liège

3.64

27%

Lommel United

3.67

Win to Nil

10%

Liège

9.82

10%

Lommel United

10.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.5 9.7 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 9.7 12.6 8.1 3.5 1.1 0.3
2 6.3 8.2 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 2.7 3.5 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.301
λ Away (xG) 1.291
Total xG 2.592
League avg home goals 1.331
League avg away goals 1.321
Liège attack strength 0.850
Liège defence strength 1.150
Lommel United attack strength 0.850
Lommel United defence strength 1.150
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 0 / 0