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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 3

Kick-off

Fri 11 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Het Kuipje

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KVC Westerlo Win

45%

KVC Westerlo

2.21

26%

Draw

3.81

29%

Charleroi

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.1%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.2%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.82

KVC Westerlo xG

Total xG

3.25

1.43

Charleroi xG

45%
26%
29%
KVC WesterloDrawCharleroi

2.21

45%

Home win

3.81

26%

Draw

3.51

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

84%

Over 1.5

1.19

16%

Under 1.5

6.25

63%

Over 2.5

1.59

37%

Under 2.5

2.70

41%

Over 3.5

2.44

59%

Under 3.5

1.69

23%

Over 4.5

4.35

77%

Under 4.5

1.30

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.53

34%

BTTS No

2.90

Clean Sheet

24%

KVC Westerlo

4.17

16%

Charleroi

6.20

Win to Nil

11%

KVC Westerlo

9.23

5%

Charleroi

21.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.9 5.5 3.9 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.0 10.1 7.2 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.4 9.2 6.6 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 5.6 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.8 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.825
λ Away (xG) 1.429
Total xG 3.254
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
KVC Westerlo attack strength 1.168
KVC Westerlo defence strength 1.184
Charleroi attack strength 1.085
Charleroi defence strength 1.062
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60