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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 4 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Achter de Kazerne

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

42%

KV Mechelen

2.38

33%

Draw

3.04

25%

St. Truiden

3.99

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

10.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

2.28

0.97

St. Truiden xG

42%
33%
25%
KV MechelenDrawSt. Truiden

2.38

42%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.99

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.09

52%

BTTS No

1.92

Clean Sheet

38%

KV Mechelen

2.64

27%

St. Truiden

3.72

Win to Nil

16%

KV Mechelen

6.26

7%

St. Truiden

14.88

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 13.4 13.0 6.3 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 8.8 8.5 4.1 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 3.9 3.7 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 1.3 1.2 0.6 0.2
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.284
League avg home goals 1.373
League avg away goals 1.168
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.060
KV Mechelen defence strength 0.955
St. Truiden attack strength 0.869
St. Truiden defence strength 0.903
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 39 / 39