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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 27

Kick-off

Fri 21 Feb 2025

19:45

Venue

AFAS Stadion

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KV Mechelen Win

61%

KV Mechelen

1.65

22%

Draw

4.59

18%

St. Truiden

5.66

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

8.2%

Draw

2 – 0

7.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.31

KV Mechelen xG

Total xG

3.53

1.22

St. Truiden xG

61%
22%
18%
KV MechelenDrawSt. Truiden

1.65

61%

Home win

4.59

22%

Draw

5.66

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

87%

Over 1.5

1.15

13%

Under 1.5

7.69

69%

Over 2.5

1.45

31%

Under 2.5

3.23

47%

Over 3.5

2.13

53%

Under 3.5

1.89

28%

Over 4.5

3.57

72%

Under 4.5

1.39

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.84

Clean Sheet

30%

KV Mechelen

3.38

10%

St. Truiden

10.10

Win to Nil

18%

KV Mechelen

5.59

2%

St. Truiden

57.19

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 2.9 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
1 6.8 8.2 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.2
2 7.8 9.5 5.8 2.4 0.7 0.2
3 6.0 7.4 4.5 1.8 0.6 0.1
4 3.5 4.3 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1
5 1.6 2.0 1.2 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.313
λ Away (xG) 1.219
Total xG 3.532
League avg home goals 1.532
League avg away goals 1.132
KV Mechelen attack strength 1.164
KV Mechelen defence strength 1.121
St. Truiden attack strength 0.961
St. Truiden defence strength 1.298
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56