Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Thu 26 Dec 2024

19:45

Venue

Planet Group Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gent Win

48%

Gent

2.08

34%

Draw

2.93

18%

Union St. Gilloise

5.62

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.7%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.34

Gent xG

Total xG

2.08

0.74

Union St. Gilloise xG

48%
34%
18%
GentDrawUnion St. Gilloise

2.08

48%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

5.62

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

48%

Gent

2.10

26%

Union St. Gilloise

3.82

Win to Nil

23%

Gent

4.37

5%

Union St. Gilloise

21.46

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 9.3 3.4 0.8 0.2
1 16.7 12.4 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 11.2 8.3 3.1 0.8 0.1
3 5.0 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.340
λ Away (xG) 0.742
Total xG 2.082
League avg home goals 1.632
League avg away goals 1.047
Gent attack strength 1.121
Gent defence strength 0.852
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 0.832
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.732
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 49