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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Fri 19 Sep 2025

19:45

Venue

Planet Group Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Gent Win

52%

Gent

1.91

26%

Draw

3.82

21%

Dender

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.5%

Home win

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.76

Gent xG

Total xG

2.82

1.06

Dender xG

52%
26%
21%
GentDrawDender

1.91

52%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

31%

Over 3.5

3.23

69%

Under 3.5

1.45

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.80

45%

BTTS No

2.24

Clean Sheet

35%

Gent

2.88

17%

Dender

5.81

Win to Nil

18%

Gent

5.50

4%

Dender

27.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.0 6.3 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 10.5 11.1 5.9 2.1 0.6 0.1
2 9.2 9.8 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.4 5.7 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.4 2.5 1.3 0.5 0.1
5 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.759
λ Away (xG) 1.059
Total xG 2.818
League avg home goals 1.440
League avg away goals 1.122
Gent attack strength 0.999
Gent defence strength 1.085
Dender attack strength 0.870
Dender defence strength 1.223
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 37