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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sun 21 Sep 2025

12:30

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Union St. Gilloise Win

32%

Genk

3.17

32%

Draw

3.09

36%

Union St. Gilloise

2.77

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.9%

Away win

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Genk xG

Total xG

2.31

1.20

Union St. Gilloise xG

32%
32%
36%
GenkDrawUnion St. Gilloise

3.17

32%

Home win

3.09

32%

Draw

2.77

36%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

41%

Over 2.5

2.44

59%

Under 2.5

1.69

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.04

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

30%

Genk

3.33

33%

Union St. Gilloise

3.03

Win to Nil

9%

Genk

10.54

12%

Union St. Gilloise

8.41

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.9 11.9 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 11.0 13.2 7.9 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.1 7.3 4.4 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 2.3 2.7 1.6 0.7 0.2
4 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.110
λ Away (xG) 1.202
Total xG 2.312
League avg home goals 1.402
League avg away goals 1.118
Genk attack strength 0.982
Genk defence strength 1.007
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.067
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.806
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 37