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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Championship Round - 4

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

39%

Genk

2.55

32%

Draw

3.10

28%

Union St. Gilloise

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.1%

Home win

0 – 1

10.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.29

Genk xG

Total xG

2.37

1.07

Union St. Gilloise xG

39%
32%
28%
GenkDrawUnion St. Gilloise

2.55

39%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.51

28%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

34%

Genk

2.93

27%

Union St. Gilloise

3.65

Win to Nil

13%

Genk

7.45

8%

Union St. Gilloise

12.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.0 5.4 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.1 13.0 7.0 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.8 8.4 4.5 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 3.4 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2
4 1.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.295
λ Away (xG) 1.074
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Genk attack strength 1.134
Genk defence strength 0.770
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.253
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.776
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60