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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 30

Kick-off

Sat 15 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

34%

Genk

2.93

34%

Draw

2.95

32%

Union St. Gilloise

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

12.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.11

Genk xG

Total xG

2.17

1.06

Union St. Gilloise xG

34%
34%
32%
GenkDrawUnion St. Gilloise

2.93

34%

Home win

2.95

34%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

46%

BTTS Yes

2.17

54%

BTTS No

1.86

Clean Sheet

34%

Genk

2.90

33%

Union St. Gilloise

3.03

Win to Nil

12%

Genk

8.49

11%

Union St. Gilloise

9.49

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 12.1 6.4 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.6 13.4 7.2 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 7.0 7.4 4.0 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.6 2.8 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.109
λ Away (xG) 1.065
Total xG 2.174
League avg home goals 1.443
League avg away goals 1.101
Genk attack strength 1.114
Genk defence strength 0.736
Union St. Gilloise attack strength 1.314
Union St. Gilloise defence strength 0.690
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 59