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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Wed 17 Sep 2025

19:30

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

45%

Genk

2.25

27%

Draw

3.72

29%

Charleroi

3.50

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.3%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

1 – 2

7.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Genk xG

Total xG

3.21

1.42

Charleroi xG

45%
27%
29%
GenkDrawCharleroi

2.25

45%

Home win

3.72

27%

Draw

3.50

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

83%

Over 1.5

1.20

17%

Under 1.5

5.88

62%

Over 2.5

1.61

38%

Under 2.5

2.63

40%

Over 3.5

2.50

60%

Under 3.5

1.67

22%

Over 4.5

4.55

78%

Under 4.5

1.28

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

65%

BTTS Yes

1.54

35%

BTTS No

2.87

Clean Sheet

24%

Genk

4.13

17%

Charleroi

6.01

Win to Nil

11%

Genk

9.27

5%

Charleroi

21.00

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.0 5.7 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2
1 7.2 10.3 7.3 3.4 1.2 0.3
2 6.5 9.2 6.5 3.1 1.1 0.3
3 3.9 5.5 3.9 1.8 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 2.5 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.793
λ Away (xG) 1.418
Total xG 3.211
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.129
Genk attack strength 1.108
Genk defence strength 1.045
Charleroi attack strength 1.201
Charleroi defence strength 1.101
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 36 / 36