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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sat 20 Dec 2025

15:00

Venue

Dender Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Standard Liege Win

27%

Dender

3.75

28%

Draw

3.56

45%

Standard Liege

2.21

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.02

Dender xG

Total xG

2.42

1.41

Standard Liege xG

27%
28%
45%
DenderDrawStandard Liege

3.75

27%

Home win

3.56

28%

Draw

2.21

45%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.96

Clean Sheet

25%

Dender

4.08

36%

Standard Liege

2.77

Win to Nil

7%

Dender

15.30

16%

Standard Liege

6.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.8 12.4 8.7 4.1 1.4 0.4
1 9.0 12.7 8.9 4.2 1.5 0.4
2 4.6 6.5 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2
3 1.6 2.2 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1
4 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.019
λ Away (xG) 1.406
Total xG 2.425
League avg home goals 1.332
League avg away goals 1.124
Dender attack strength 0.823
Dender defence strength 1.479
Standard Liege attack strength 0.846
Standard Liege defence strength 0.930
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 48 / 48