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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Sat 21 Feb 2026

15:00

Venue

Dender Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

St. Truiden Win

16%

Dender

6.21

21%

Draw

4.75

63%

St. Truiden

1.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 2

10.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 1

10.1%

Away win

1 – 2

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Dender xG

Total xG

3.02

2.07

St. Truiden xG

16%
21%
63%
DenderDrawSt. Truiden

6.21

16%

Home win

4.75

21%

Draw

1.59

63%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.85

46%

BTTS No

2.17

Clean Sheet

13%

Dender

7.92

39%

St. Truiden

2.59

Win to Nil

2%

Dender

49.17

24%

St. Truiden

4.11

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.9 10.1 10.5 7.2 3.7 1.5
1 4.6 9.6 9.9 6.9 3.5 1.5
2 2.2 4.6 4.7 3.3 1.7 0.7
3 0.7 1.4 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.950
λ Away (xG) 2.069
Total xG 3.019
League avg home goals 1.281
League avg away goals 1.295
Dender attack strength 0.807
Dender defence strength 1.203
St. Truiden attack strength 1.328
St. Truiden defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 55 / 55