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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 8

Kick-off

Sun 11 May 2025

18:15

Venue

DENDER Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

33%

Dender

3.01

36%

Draw

2.76

30%

OH Leuven

3.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.5%

Home win

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Dender xG

Total xG

1.91

0.93

OH Leuven xG

33%
36%
30%
DenderDrawOH Leuven

3.01

33%

Home win

2.76

36%

Draw

3.28

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

57%

Over 1.5

1.75

43%

Under 1.5

2.33

30%

Over 2.5

3.33

70%

Under 2.5

1.43

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

39%

Dender

2.53

37%

OH Leuven

2.67

Win to Nil

13%

Dender

7.62

11%

OH Leuven

8.76

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.8 13.7 6.4 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.5 13.5 6.3 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 7.1 6.6 3.1 1.0 0.2
3 2.3 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.982
λ Away (xG) 0.930
Total xG 1.912
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Dender attack strength 0.653
Dender defence strength 1.072
OH Leuven attack strength 0.780
OH Leuven defence strength 1.021
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 60