Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sat 8 Mar 2025

19:45

Venue

DENDER Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Genk Win

22%

Dender

4.65

32%

Draw

3.10

46%

Genk

2.17

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.1%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.95

Dender xG

Total xG

2.41

1.46

Genk xG

22%
32%
46%
DenderDrawGenk

4.65

22%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

2.17

46%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

23%

Dender

4.32

39%

Genk

2.58

Win to Nil

5%

Dender

20.07

18%

Genk

5.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 13.1 9.6 4.7 1.7 0.5
1 8.5 12.4 9.1 4.4 1.6 0.5
2 4.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
3 1.3 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1
4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.948
λ Away (xG) 1.463
Total xG 2.411
League avg home goals 1.447
League avg away goals 1.115
Dender attack strength 0.661
Dender defence strength 1.084
Genk attack strength 1.211
Genk defence strength 0.991
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 58