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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 5

Kick-off

Tue 22 Apr 2025

19:30

Venue

DENDER Football Complex

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

26%

Dender

3.79

33%

Draw

3.05

41%

Charleroi

2.45

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.2%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

10.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.99

Dender xG

Total xG

2.27

1.28

Charleroi xG

26%
33%
41%
DenderDrawCharleroi

3.79

26%

Home win

3.05

33%

Draw

2.45

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

66%

Over 1.5

1.52

34%

Under 1.5

2.94

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.10

52%

BTTS No

1.91

Clean Sheet

28%

Dender

3.60

37%

Charleroi

2.69

Win to Nil

7%

Dender

13.64

15%

Charleroi

6.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.3 13.2 8.5 3.6 1.2 0.3
1 10.2 13.1 8.4 3.6 1.1 0.3
2 5.1 6.5 4.1 1.8 0.6 0.1
3 1.7 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.989
λ Away (xG) 1.281
Total xG 2.270
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Dender attack strength 0.634
Dender defence strength 1.064
Charleroi attack strength 1.081
Charleroi defence strength 1.060
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 30 / 60