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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 28 Sep 2025

17:30

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

36%

Charleroi

2.75

32%

Draw

3.15

32%

KV Mechelen

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.5%

Home win

0 – 1

10.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.37

1.14

KV Mechelen xG

36%
32%
32%
CharleroiDrawKV Mechelen

2.75

36%

Home win

3.15

32%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.00

50%

BTTS No

2.00

Clean Sheet

32%

Charleroi

3.12

29%

KV Mechelen

3.42

Win to Nil

12%

Charleroi

8.60

9%

KV Mechelen

10.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.7 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.1
1 11.5 13.1 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 7.1 8.1 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 2.9 3.3 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.230
λ Away (xG) 1.139
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 1.175
Charleroi attack strength 0.968
Charleroi defence strength 1.079
KV Mechelen attack strength 0.898
KV Mechelen defence strength 0.908
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38