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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 4

Kick-off

Sat 19 Apr 2025

17:15

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

42%

Charleroi

2.39

34%

Draw

2.93

24%

KV Mechelen

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.08

0.87

KV Mechelen xG

42%
34%
24%
CharleroiDrawKV Mechelen

2.39

42%

Home win

2.93

34%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

34%

Over 2.5

2.94

66%

Under 2.5

1.52

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.32

57%

BTTS No

1.76

Clean Sheet

42%

Charleroi

2.38

30%

KV Mechelen

3.36

Win to Nil

18%

Charleroi

5.70

7%

KV Mechelen

13.94

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 10.8 4.7 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.1 13.1 5.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.2 8.0 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 3.7 3.2 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.212
λ Away (xG) 0.868
Total xG 2.080
League avg home goals 1.471
League avg away goals 1.113
Charleroi attack strength 0.895
Charleroi defence strength 0.915
KV Mechelen attack strength 0.852
KV Mechelen defence strength 0.920
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 60