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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Sat 30 Aug 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

47%

Charleroi

2.15

32%

Draw

3.12

21%

Dender

4.68

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.4%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.46

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.40

0.94

Dender xG

47%
32%
21%
CharleroiDrawDender

2.15

47%

Home win

3.12

32%

Draw

4.68

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

2.02

50%

BTTS No

1.98

Clean Sheet

39%

Charleroi

2.55

23%

Dender

4.32

Win to Nil

18%

Charleroi

5.49

5%

Dender

20.23

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.1 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 13.3 12.4 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 9.1 4.3 1.3 0.3 0.1
3 4.7 4.4 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.7 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1
5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.464
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.402
League avg home goals 1.488
League avg away goals 1.127
Charleroi attack strength 0.920
Charleroi defence strength 0.968
Dender attack strength 0.860
Dender defence strength 1.069
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 35