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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Jupiler Pro League · Conference League Play-off Group - 6

Kick-off

Sat 26 Apr 2025

19:45

Venue

Stade du Pays de Charleroi

Competition

Jupiler Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Charleroi Win

57%

Charleroi

1.75

26%

Draw

3.88

17%

Dender

5.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

10.5%

Draw

2 – 0

10.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.90

Charleroi xG

Total xG

2.87

0.97

Dender xG

57%
26%
17%
CharleroiDrawDender

1.75

57%

Home win

3.88

26%

Draw

5.83

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

55%

BTTS Yes

1.83

45%

BTTS No

2.21

Clean Sheet

38%

Charleroi

2.65

15%

Dender

6.65

Win to Nil

22%

Charleroi

4.64

3%

Dender

38.81

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 5.5 2.7 0.9 0.2
1 10.8 10.5 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.2 9.9 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 6.4 6.3 3.1 1.0 0.2
4 3.0 3.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.895
λ Away (xG) 0.974
Total xG 2.869
League avg home goals 1.472
League avg away goals 1.113
Charleroi attack strength 0.898
Charleroi defence strength 0.918
Dender attack strength 0.953
Dender defence strength 1.434
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 30