RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 SK Beveren – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SK Beveren at 46% — the H2H record provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Stade Roi Baudouin plays host to RSC Anderlecht II versus SK Beveren in Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off: Saturday 2 December 2023 at 19:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
RSC Anderlecht II have collected 1.60 PPG across 10 Challenger Pro League outings this season: 4W 4D 2L. Last five: W W D L W. They are averaging 2.00 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone. This season is still relatively young for RSC Anderlecht II, so this record blends games from this season and last.
In front of their own supporters this season, RSC Anderlecht II have posted 1W 4D 5L at Stade Roi Baudouin — 0.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 0.70 lags behind their overall 1.60 — the home advantage has not translated into superior results at Stade Roi Baudouin this season.
SK Beveren (all games): 4W 4D 2L across 10 Challenger Pro League outings this term — 1.60 points per game. Last five: W W D D W. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.10. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not. This season is still relatively young for SK Beveren, so this record blends games from this season and last.
SK Beveren's form when playing away from home: 4W 4D 2L across 10 road games this term (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from 10 games (50%) — they are as difficult to score against on the road as they are at home.
A near-identical PPG reading — 1.60 for RSC Anderlecht II, 1.60 for SK Beveren — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
H2H History
SK Beveren hold the superior head-to-head record in this fixture, claiming 3 wins from 4 meetings. The hosts have won just 0 times in that span.
These two sides have produced goals at a consistent rate historically, averaging 4.5 per game across 4 meetings. That scoring profile provides genuine support for the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent clash, on 8 Apr 2023, ended 1–4 with SK Beveren winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. SK Beveren have won 3 of 4 previous encounters, and at 4.5 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
Trading & In-Play
RSC Anderlecht II — key trading statistics (45 games, 22 at home): they score before half-time in 91% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 73% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 49%.
SK Beveren — key trading statistics (45 games, 22 at away): they score before half-time in 73% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 64% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 42%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — RSC Anderlecht II 67% and SK Beveren 56% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (RSC Anderlecht II 67% | SK Beveren 69%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 xG and SK Beveren 1.55 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.122 / defence 1.156 | SK Beveren attack 0.877 / defence 0.861. League average goals — home 1.192 / away 1.527. Data: 35 RSC Anderlecht II games / 35 SK Beveren games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 28% | Draw 25% | SK Beveren 46%. Fair-value odds: RSC Anderlecht II 3.57 | Draw 4.00 | SK Beveren 2.17. SK Beveren hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS probability 54% | Total xG 2.70. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.70 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS probability of 54% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates SK Beveren as the most likely outcome at 46% — moderate model lean. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SK Beveren if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.70 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 51% — strong confidence, supported by form averaging 2.9 goals per game and H2H averaging 4.5 goals per meeting.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate: RSC Anderlecht II 70% | SK Beveren 40% BTTS from recent games.
🔮 Your Prediction
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren | Competition: Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 14 | Venue: Stade Roi Baudouin • Kick-off: Saturday 2 Dec 2023, 19:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 28% | Draw 25% | SK Beveren 46% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% | BTTS 54% | xG RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 / SK Beveren 1.55 • Poisson strength factors: RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.122 / def 1.156 | SK Beveren attack 0.877 / def 0.861 | league avg home 1.192 / away 1.527 • Poisson stance: SK Beveren (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.15
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Expected Goals
1.55
SK Beveren xG
54%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren kick off?
RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren kicked off at 19:00 on Saturday 2 December 2023 at Stade Roi Baudouin.
What was the final score in RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
RSC Anderlecht II 0 - 2 SK Beveren.
Where is RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren being played?
The match is being played at Stade Roi Baudouin.
What competition is RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren part of?
RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren is a Regular Season - 14 fixture in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Our statistical model gives RSC Anderlecht II a 28% chance of winning, SK Beveren a 46% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making SK Beveren the favourite.
Will both teams score in RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren will score (BTTS).
Will RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%.
What is the head-to-head record between RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren?
Record (4 meetings): RSC Anderlecht II 0W | Draws 1 | SK Beveren 3W.
What form are RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren in?
RSC Anderlecht II (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-W-D-L-W. SK Beveren (all comps): 4W-4D-2L in 10 | 1.60 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.10 | L5 W-W-D-D-W.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from RSC Anderlecht II's attack rating (1.12) and SK Beveren's defence rating (0.86), the model arrives at 1.15 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — SK Beveren's attack (0.88x) against RSC Anderlecht II's defence (1.16x) — and the away total comes out at 1.55.
These ratings are built from 35/35 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.5%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.3%), 0-1 (8.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SK Beveren Win
28%
3.53
25%
3.96
46%
2.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.4%
Away win
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Total xG
2.70
1.55
SK Beveren xG
3.53
28%
Home win
3.96
25%
Draw
2.15
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.17
Clean Sheet
21%
4.71
32%
3.16
Win to Nil
6%
16.64
15%
6.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 10.4 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.5%.
How many goals are RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren expected to score?
The model projects 1.15 expected goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.55 for SK Beveren, a combined total of 2.70.
How confident is the prediction model for RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
RSC Anderlecht II come into this having played 45 games, going 14W 14D 17L for 1.24 points per game. Their last five reads W-W-D-L-W. The sample for RSC Anderlecht II is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
On the other side, SK Beveren sit at 1.89 PPG from 45 outings (24W 13D 8L), a run that reads W-W-D-D-W across their last five. The sample for SK Beveren is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
SK Beveren carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.65 PPG clear of RSC Anderlecht II — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
RSC Anderlecht II's home form reads 4W 8D 10L across 22 games on their own ground, a 0.91 PPG return.
Away from home, SK Beveren have taken 1.50 points per game from 22 outings (8W 9D 5L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, SK Beveren come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
RSC Anderlecht II are averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game recently; SK Beveren are on 2.09 scored and 1.09 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: RSC Anderlecht II have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games.
Defensively: SK Beveren in 36% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 45 Results — Challenger Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
RSC Anderlecht II
Blended
SK Beveren
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren in coming into this match?
RSC Anderlecht II have gone 14W 14D 17L in their last 45 games (1.24 PPG), while SK Beveren have gone 24W 13D 8L in their last 45 (1.89 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — RSC Anderlecht II at home or SK Beveren away?
SK Beveren's away record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — RSC Anderlecht II at home: 0.91 PPG; SK Beveren away: 1.50 PPG.
Have RSC Anderlecht II or SK Beveren been keeping clean sheets recently?
RSC Anderlecht II have kept a clean sheet in 18% of their recent games, SK Beveren in 36%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to August 2022 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 3 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Challenger Pro League. They last met on 4 April 2026, roughly 4 months ago.
Notable Numbers
SK Beveren go into this on the back of 3 straight wins in the series — the current momentum sits squarely with them.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SK Beveren won 0-5 on 4 Apr 2026, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, RSC Anderlecht II have gone 0W 1D 4L from 5 meetings on their own ground against SK Beveren — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
0
RSC Anderlecht II
2
Draws
8
SK Beveren
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren?
From 10 meetings on record, RSC Anderlecht II have won 0, SK Beveren have won 8, and 2 have been drawn.
When did RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren last play each other?
They last met on 4 April 2026, when RSC Anderlecht II 0-5 SK Beveren.
Who has won more matches between RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren?
SK Beveren have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
RSC Anderlecht II are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 91% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 18% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one.
SK Beveren are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — RSC Anderlecht II 68%, SK Beveren 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 73% for RSC Anderlecht II and 64% for SK Beveren. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 50% and 46% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SK Beveren in 36%; SK Beveren in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = RSC Anderlecht II home games / SK Beveren away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when RSC Anderlecht II play SK Beveren?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 68% of RSC Anderlecht II's games and 50% of SK Beveren's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Is RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 73% of RSC Anderlecht II's matches and 64% of SK Beveren's.
Do RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren tend to score early?
RSC Anderlecht II have had a goal before half-time in 91% of their recent matches, SK Beveren in 73% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
SK Beveren cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over RSC Anderlecht II.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SK Beveren beat RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 at Stade Roi Baudouin, Regular Season - 14, in the Challenger Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 xG and SK Beveren 1.55 xG, a combined 2.70. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. RSC Anderlecht II fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.12 / defence 1.16 against SK Beveren attack 0.88 / defence 0.86, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it RSC Anderlecht II 28% | Draw 25% | SK Beveren 46%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 46%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 68% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RSC Anderlecht II 67%, SK Beveren 69%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
SK Beveren's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, SK Beveren arrived the stronger side — 1.89 PPG against 1.24. That form edge translated into the three points. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward. SK Beveren (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.