RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 SK Beveren – Result & Analysis
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Poisson rates SK Beveren at 46% — the head-to-head data provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Full Analysis
Stade Roi Baudouin plays host to RSC Anderlecht II versus SK Beveren in Challenger Pro League (matchday 14). Kick-off: Saturday 2 December 2023 at 19:00 UK time.
Form & Momentum
RSC Anderlecht II have collected 1.60 PPG across their last 10 games: 4W 4D 2L. Last five: W W D L W. They are averaging 2.00 goals per game — a high-scoring output that makes them a genuine attacking threat in any fixture. 2 clean sheets from 10 outings (20%). Both teams have scored in 80% of their matches — an extremely high rate that makes BTTS Yes a well-supported standalone angle from their form alone.
In front of their own supporters, RSC Anderlecht II have posted 1W 4D 5L from their last 10 home games — 0.70 PPG. At home they are averaging 1.30 goals scored and 2.20 conceded per game. Both teams have scored in 70% of their home games — an outstanding BTTS rate that is a key data point for this fixture. Somewhat surprisingly, their home PPG of 0.70 lags behind their overall 1.60 — home advantage has not translated into better results recently.
SK Beveren (all games): 4W 4D 2L across their last 10 — 1.60 points per game. Last five: W W D D W. They are scoring at 1.60 per game and conceding 1.10. 5 clean sheets from 10 games (50%) is an exceptional defensive record — they are keeping clean sheets more often than not.
SK Beveren's form when playing away from home: 4W 4D 2L across their last 10 road games (1.60 PPG). Away from home they average 1.50 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. 5 away clean sheets from their last 10 away games (50%) — they are hard to break down on the road.
A near-identical PPG reading — 1.60 for RSC Anderlecht II, 1.60 for SK Beveren — means the form record is uninstructive on result selection. The goals and market sections will carry greater evidential weight.
H2H History
The head-to-head sample leans to SK Beveren, who have 3 wins from 4 H2H matches compared to 0 for the hosts, with 1 draw.
These two sides have produced goals at a healthy rate, averaging 4.5 per game across the 4 H2H matches we hold. That scoring profile supports the Over 2.5 angle. The most recent of those, on 8 Apr 2023, ended RSC Anderlecht II 1–4 SK Beveren — a SK Beveren win.
The H2H data backs the away side. SK Beveren have won 3 of 4 H2H matches, and at 4.5 goals per game the goals market also points upward — the away win and Over 2.5 combination has a head-to-head case.
Trading & In-Play
RSC Anderlecht II — key trading statistics (last 45 games, 22 of them at home): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 91% of their matches in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 70% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 60% of those occasions; of the 13 games they led at half-time, they failed to win 46%; of the 12 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 25%; BTTS occurs in 68% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 73% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 49%.
SK Beveren — key trading statistics (last 45 games, 22 of them away): at least one goal arrives before half-time in 73% of their matches in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 50% of those occasions; of the 12 games they trailed at half-time, they recovered to draw or win 50%; BTTS occurs in 50% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 64% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 42%.
From a combined perspective, both sides have high BTTS rates — RSC Anderlecht II 67% and SK Beveren 56% — which reinforces the BTTS Yes angle from in-play data. Over 2.5 goals is well-supported by both sides' in-play profiles (RSC Anderlecht II 67% | SK Beveren 69%). There is an in-play dynamic worth noting: RSC Anderlecht II surrender their half-time lead 46% of the time, while SK Beveren have come from behind at the break to draw or win in 50% of cases — a combination that makes laying the hosts at HT a potential angle.
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 xG and SK Beveren 1.55 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.122 / defence 1.156 | SK Beveren attack 0.877 / defence 0.861. League average goals — home 1.192 / away 1.527. Data: built from RSC Anderlecht II's last 35 games and SK Beveren's last 35.
Result probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 28% | Draw 25% | SK Beveren 46%. Fair-value odds: RSC Anderlecht II 3.53 | Draw 3.96 | SK Beveren 2.15. SK Beveren hold a narrow Poisson edge at 46% — the draw (25%) is close enough to merit draw-inclusive market consideration.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 51% | BTTS Yes probability 54% | Total xG 2.70. Over/Under 2.5 is close to a coin-flip at 51%/49% — the total xG of 2.70 sits near the 2.5 margin; this is a low-edge market from a Poisson standpoint. BTTS Yes at 54% is only a slight lean — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Final Verdict
Poisson rates SK Beveren as the most likely outcome at 46% — moderate model lean. The head-to-head data (SK Beveren 3 wins from 4 H2H matches) corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 25% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on SK Beveren if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 28% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.70 xG in total — Over 2.5 at 51% — strong conviction, supported by recent form (RSC Anderlecht II's last 10 home games and SK Beveren's last 10 away games) averaging 2.9 goals per game and the H2H data averaging 4.5 goals per game across 4 H2H matches.
Poisson assigns a 54% probability to BTTS Yes based on the attack/defence strength model. Form rates corroborate — both teams scored in: RSC Anderlecht II 70% (last 10 home games) | SK Beveren 40% (last 10 away games).
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💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren | Competition: Challenger Pro League, matchday 14 | Venue: Stade Roi Baudouin • Kick-off: Saturday 2 December 2023 at 19:00 UK time • Data inputs: head-to-head data, recent form (overall and home/away), the Poisson prediction model and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 28% | Draw 25% | SK Beveren 46% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 51% (Under 49%) | BTTS Yes 54% (No 46%) | xG RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 / SK Beveren 1.55 • Poisson strength factors: RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.122 / def 1.156 | SK Beveren attack 0.877 / def 0.861 | league avg home 1.192 / away 1.527 • Poisson stance: SK Beveren (46%) — moderate lean
🧮 Prediction Model
1.15
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Expected Goals
1.55
SK Beveren xG
54%
BTTS
75%
Over 1.5
51%
Over 2.5
29%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren FAQs
What time does RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren kick off?
RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren kicked off at 19:00 UK time on Saturday 2 December 2023 at Stade Roi Baudouin.
What was the final score in RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
RSC Anderlecht II 0 - 2 SK Beveren.
Where is RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren being played?
The match is being played at Stade Roi Baudouin.
What competition is RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren part of?
RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren is a Challenger Pro League fixture (matchday 14) (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Our statistical model gives RSC Anderlecht II a 28% chance of winning, SK Beveren a 46% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw — making SK Beveren the favourite.
Will both teams score in RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Our model estimates a 54% probability that both RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren will score, so it leans towards BTTS Yes.
Will RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 51%, so it leans towards over 2.5 goals.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
Working from RSC Anderlecht II's attack rating (1.12) and SK Beveren's defence rating (0.86), the model arrives at 1.15 expected goals for the home side. Flip it around — SK Beveren's attack (0.88x) against RSC Anderlecht II's defence (1.16x) — and the away total comes out at 1.55.
These ratings are built from RSC Anderlecht II's last 35 games and SK Beveren's last 35 — a full enough recent sample to trust.
The Exact-Score Picture
Run the expected-goals figures through the full scoreline distribution and 1-1 emerges as the single most likely result, at 13.5%. Close behind: 1-2 (9.3%), 0-1 (8.8%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 32% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
SK Beveren Win
28%
3.53
25%
3.96
46%
2.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.0%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
10.4%
Away win
1 – 2
9.3%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.15
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Total xG
2.70
1.55
SK Beveren xG
3.53
28%
Home win
3.96
25%
Draw
2.15
46%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
51%
Over 2.5
1.96
49%
Under 2.5
2.04
29%
Over 3.5
3.45
71%
Under 3.5
1.41
14%
Over 4.5
7.14
86%
Under 4.5
1.16
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
54%
BTTS Yes
1.86
46%
BTTS No
2.17
Clean Sheet
21%
4.71
32%
3.16
Win to Nil
6%
16.64
15%
6.81
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.7 | 10.4 | 8.1 | 4.2 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 7.7 | 12.0 | 9.3 | 4.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 |
| 2 | 4.5 | 6.9 | 5.3 | 2.8 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren Prediction FAQs
What is the most likely scoreline for RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 13.5%.
How many goals are RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren expected to score?
The model projects 1.15 expected goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.55 for SK Beveren, a combined total of 2.70.
How confident is the prediction model for RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 46%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
RSC Anderlecht II come into this having played 45 games, going 14W 14D 17L for 1.24 points per game. Their last five reads W-W-D-L-W.
On the other side, SK Beveren sit at 1.89 PPG from 45 outings (24W 13D 8L), a run that reads W-W-D-D-W across their last five.
SK Beveren carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.65 PPG clear of RSC Anderlecht II — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
How They Fare by Venue
RSC Anderlecht II's home form reads 4W 8D 10L across their last 22 home games, a 0.91 PPG return.
Away from home, SK Beveren have taken 1.50 points per game from their last 22 away games (8W 9D 5L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, SK Beveren come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
RSC Anderlecht II are averaging 1.56 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game recently; SK Beveren are on 2.09 scored and 1.09 conceded.
On BTTS specifically: RSC Anderlecht II have seen both teams score in 67% of their recent games.
Defensively: SK Beveren in 36% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 45 Results
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
RSC Anderlecht II
Blended
SK Beveren
Blended
RSC Anderlecht II (Home) vs SK Beveren (Away)
Home games only for the home side · Away games only for the away side
RSC Anderlecht II
Blended
SK Beveren
Blended
❓ RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren Form FAQs
What form are RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren in coming into this match?
RSC Anderlecht II have gone 14W 14D 17L in their last 45 games (1.24 PPG), while SK Beveren have gone 24W 13D 8L in their last 45 (1.89 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — RSC Anderlecht II at home or SK Beveren away?
SK Beveren's away record (1.50 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — RSC Anderlecht II at home: 0.91 PPG; SK Beveren away: 1.50 PPG.
Have RSC Anderlecht II or SK Beveren been keeping clean sheets recently?
RSC Anderlecht II have kept a clean sheet in 18% of their recent games, SK Beveren in 36%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
Our data holds 10 H2H matches between RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren, the earliest from August 2022. All of them came in Challenger Pro League. The most recent was on 4 April 2026, roughly 7 months ago.
Notable Numbers
SK Beveren have won the most recent 3 H2H matches in our data — the current momentum in this pairing sits with them.
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SK Beveren won RSC Anderlecht II 0-5 SK Beveren on 4 Apr 2026, the biggest margin in the H2H matches we hold.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, RSC Anderlecht II have gone 0W 1D 4L from the 5 H2H matches in our data played on their own ground against SK Beveren — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
0
RSC Anderlecht II
2
Draws
8
SK Beveren
Recent Meetings
❓ RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren H2H FAQs
What is the head-to-head record between RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren?
Across the 10 head-to-head matches in our data, RSC Anderlecht II have won 0, SK Beveren have won 8, and 2 have been drawn.
When did RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren last play each other?
The most recent meeting in our data was on 4 April 2026: RSC Anderlecht II 0-5 SK Beveren.
Who has won more matches between RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren?
SK Beveren have the better head-to-head record, with 8 wins from the 10 head-to-head matches in our data.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
RSC Anderlecht II are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 91% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 32% of the time, though they've let that lead slip 57% of the time they've held it — worth watching if they're only ahead by one. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 25% of those situations.
SK Beveren are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 73% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 27% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 33% of those situations.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — RSC Anderlecht II 68%, SK Beveren 50% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Goals have flowed in these teams' recent matches — Over 2.5 has landed at 73% for RSC Anderlecht II and 64% for SK Beveren. Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 50% and 46% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SK Beveren in 36%; SK Beveren in 27%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = RSC Anderlecht II home games / SK Beveren away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ RSC Anderlecht II vs SK Beveren Trading FAQs
Do both teams usually score in RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren matches?
Yes — based on recent matches, both teams have scored in 68% of RSC Anderlecht II's games and 50% of SK Beveren's, a combined rate that favours BTTS Yes.
Are RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren matches usually high-scoring?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 73% of RSC Anderlecht II's matches and 64% of SK Beveren's.
Do RSC Anderlecht II and SK Beveren matches tend to have early goals?
There has been at least one first-half goal in 91% of RSC Anderlecht II's recent matches and 73% of SK Beveren's — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
SK Beveren cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over RSC Anderlecht II.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SK Beveren beat RSC Anderlecht II 0-2 at Stade Roi Baudouin, Regular Season - 14, in the Challenger Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting RSC Anderlecht II 1.15 xG and SK Beveren 1.55 xG, a combined 2.70. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. RSC Anderlecht II fell 1.2 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RSC Anderlecht II attack 1.12 / defence 1.16 against SK Beveren attack 0.88 / defence 0.86, drawn from 35/35 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it RSC Anderlecht II 28% | Draw 25% | SK Beveren 46%, with SK Beveren to win its most likely call at 46%. That is exactly how it finished — the model's leading outcome was vindicated.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 51%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — the opposite of the projected direction. Over 1.5 had been 75% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 54% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 68% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RSC Anderlecht II 67%, SK Beveren 69%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 61%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (45 games, 22 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 67% of their matches — today it did not.
SK Beveren's trading profile (45 games, 22 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 36% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, SK Beveren arrived the stronger side — 1.89 PPG against 1.24. That form edge translated into the three points. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.45 scoring average — below par going forward. SK Beveren (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.14 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (hit), Over 2.5 (miss), BTTS (miss), form (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.