RSC Anderlecht II 0-1 Beerschot VA – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson model rates RSC Anderlecht II at 38%, yet in-form Beerschot VA provide a compelling counter-argument — this RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA fixture contains genuine analytical tension.
✍️ Match Preview
Fixture Analysis
It is a Challenger Pro League clash, Regular Season - 3 as RSC Anderlecht II welcome Beerschot VA to Lotto Park. Kick-off is set for Saturday 29 August 2026 at 14:00 UTC.
Form Guide
RSC Anderlecht II — All Games: 2W 1D 7L from 10 Challenger Pro League outings this season, averaging 0.70 points per game. Last five: L L W L L. Offensively they are averaging 1.60 goals per game, with 1.90 conceded. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. RSC Anderlecht II have played only a handful of Challenger Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
RSC Anderlecht II's home record at Lotto Park: 3W 3D 4L from 10 Challenger Pro League appearances (1.20 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. 4 home clean sheets from 10 games (40%) — a solid defensive base on their own ground. At home, both teams have scored in only 30% of games — reinforcing BTTS No as the home-venue-backed angle. Their home PPG of 1.20 is noticeably stronger than their overall 0.70 — RSC Anderlecht II are significantly better at Lotto Park than their overall form suggests.
Across all Challenger Pro League games this season, Beerschot VA have recorded 5W 2D 3L from 10 outings — 1.70 PPG. Last five: W L L W L. Their attacking form is sharp — 2.00 goals per game is a high-output rate that commands respect in the goals markets. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. Both teams have scored in 60% of their games — a noteworthy BTTS rate that supports the Yes market. Beerschot VA have played only a handful of Challenger Pro League games so far this season, so this record also draws on matches from last season.
On the road, Beerschot VA have gone 4W 3D 3L from 10 away fixtures this term (1.50 PPG). Away from home they average 1.40 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. 4 clean sheets from 10 away games (40%) shows they are capable of shutting up shop on the road.
Form points away from home here. Beerschot VA's 1.70 PPG return is 1.00 points per game ahead of RSC Anderlecht II's 0.70 — the visitors are the form-based selection, and Double Chance is an alternative worth pricing if the outright looks tight.
Head to Head
Despite the anticipated home advantage, Beerschot VA have the better historical record — 5 wins from 8 previous contests against 1 for RSC Anderlecht II.
The 8 previous meetings have averaged 2.8 goals per game — a neutral rate that provides no strong lean on the goals market from the H2H alone. The most recent clash, on 10 Mar 2026, ended 2–4 with Beerschot VA winning.
The H2H provides genuine backing for the away side. Beerschot VA have won 5 of 8 previous encounters, and at 2.8 goals per game, the goals market also points upward. The away win and Over 2.5 combination has a historical case worth noting.
In-Play Profile
RSC Anderlecht II in-play tendencies (34 games, 17 at home): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 57% of the time; BTTS occurs in 53% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 65% of games (home games); Over 3.5 in 41%.
Beerschot VA in-play tendencies (34 games, 17 at away): they score before half-time in 76% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 82% of the time; two or more arrive in the second half on 54% of those occasions; BTTS occurs in 47% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 47% of games (away games).
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — RSC Anderlecht II 56% versus Beerschot VA 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (RSC Anderlecht II 62% | Beerschot VA 56%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects RSC Anderlecht II 1.27 xG and Beerschot VA 1.20 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.825 / defence 1.008 | Beerschot VA attack 0.911 / defence 1.000. League average goals — home 1.542 / away 1.305. Data: 34 RSC Anderlecht II games / 34 Beerschot VA games used (Blended). A blend of current and prior-season data is applied to stabilise estimates early in the campaign.
Result probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 38% | Draw 27% | Beerschot VA 35%. Fair-value odds: RSC Anderlecht II 2.63 | Draw 3.70 | Beerschot VA 2.86. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 27% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 45% | BTTS probability 50% | Total xG 2.47. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 55% — total xG of 2.47 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 50% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Analysis Verdict
On the Poisson output, RSC Anderlecht II are the pick at 38% — marginal model lean. Note a divergence: in-form Beerschot VA (1.70 PPG) cuts against the Poisson lean — consider the strength-adjusted model over surface-level form results. With a 27% draw probability, Draw No Bet on RSC Anderlecht II offers a more defensible entry point than the straight win. The opposing side holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
The Poisson model projects 2.47 xG in total — Under 2.5 at 45% — Poisson-only — limited corroboration confidence — though H2H averaging only 2.8 goals per meeting points in the other direction.
On the BTTS market, Poisson puts 50% on Yes. This conflicts with form data: RSC Anderlecht II 30% | Beerschot VA 40% from recent games — a notable divergence.
The outsider holds a 35% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should not be treated as one. Proportionate stakes are appropriate given the genuine contest the data projects. The Poisson model is drawing on Blended data (34 games minimum) — early-season projections carry additional uncertainty. Weight the live form and odds signals accordingly.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA | Competition: Challenger Pro League, Regular Season - 3 | Venue: Lotto Park • Kick-off: Saturday 29 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: RSC Anderlecht II 38% | Draw 27% | Beerschot VA 35% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 45% | BTTS 50% | xG RSC Anderlecht II 1.27 / Beerschot VA 1.20 • Poisson strength factors: RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.825 / def 1.008 | Beerschot VA attack 0.911 / def 1.000 | league avg home 1.542 / away 1.305 • Poisson stance: RSC Anderlecht II (38%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.27
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Expected Goals
1.20
Beerschot VA xG
50%
BTTS
71%
Over 1.5
45%
Over 2.5
24%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA kick off?
RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA kicked off at 14:00 on Saturday 29 August 2026 at Lotto Park.
What was the final score in RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA?
RSC Anderlecht II 0 - 1 Beerschot VA.
Where is RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA being played?
The match is being played at Lotto Park.
What competition is RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA part of?
RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA is a Regular Season - 3 fixture in the Challenger Pro League (Belgium).
Who is favourite to win RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA?
Our statistical model gives RSC Anderlecht II a 38% chance of winning, Beerschot VA a 35% chance, and a 27% chance of a draw — making RSC Anderlecht II the favourite.
Will both teams score in RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA?
Our model estimates a 50% probability that both RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA will score (BTTS).
Will RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 45%.
What is the head-to-head record between RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA?
Record (8 meetings): RSC Anderlecht II 1W | Draws 2 | Beerschot VA 5W.
What form are RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA in?
RSC Anderlecht II (all comps): 2W-1D-7L in 10 | 0.70 PPG | GF 1.60 / GA 1.90 | L5 L-L-W-L-L. Beerschot VA (all comps): 5W-2D-3L in 10 | 1.70 PPG | GF 2.00 / GA 1.50 | L5 W-L-L-W-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Model Mechanics
RSC Anderlecht II's attacking strength (0.82x league average) is weighed against Beerschot VA's defensive record (1.00x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.27. The same calculation in reverse, Beerschot VA's attack versus RSC Anderlecht II's defence, projects 1.20 expected goals for the visitors.
The sample (34/34 games) mixes this season and last, since the current campaign is still relatively young.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.6%. Close behind: 0-0 (10.1%), 1-0 (9.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 34% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
RSC Anderlecht II Win
38%
2.62
27%
3.68
35%
2.89
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
Most likely
1 – 0
10.8%
Home win
0 – 1
10.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.27
RSC Anderlecht II xG
Total xG
2.47
1.20
Beerschot VA xG
2.62
38%
Home win
3.68
27%
Draw
2.89
35%
Away win
Goals Markets
71%
Over 1.5
1.41
29%
Under 1.5
3.45
45%
Over 2.5
2.22
55%
Under 2.5
1.82
24%
Over 3.5
4.17
76%
Under 3.5
1.32
10%
Over 4.5
10.00
90%
Under 4.5
1.11
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
50%
BTTS Yes
1.99
50%
BTTS No
2.01
Clean Sheet
30%
3.31
28%
3.57
Win to Nil
12%
8.68
10%
10.31
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5 | 10.1 | 6.1 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 1 | 10.8 | 12.9 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 6.8 | 8.2 | 4.9 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 2.9 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.6%.
How many goals are RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA expected to score?
The model projects 1.27 expected goals for RSC Anderlecht II and 1.20 for Beerschot VA, a combined total of 2.47.
How confident is the prediction model for RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 38%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Where Both Sides Stand
RSC Anderlecht II come into this having played 34 games, going 7W 10D 17L for 0.91 points per game. Their last five reads L-L-W-L-L. It's still early in the season for RSC Anderlecht II, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
On the other side, Beerschot VA sit at 1.85 PPG from 34 outings (19W 6D 9L), a run that reads W-L-L-W-L across their last five. It's still early in the season for Beerschot VA, so this record blends in a handful of games from last season too.
Beerschot VA carry the stronger recent form of the two, 0.94 PPG clear of RSC Anderlecht II — worth weighing alongside whatever the head-to-head and market data say.
Home Ground vs the Road
RSC Anderlecht II's home form reads 3W 7D 7L across 17 games on their own ground, a 0.94 PPG return.
Away from home, Beerschot VA have taken 1.76 points per game from 17 outings (9W 3D 5L).
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, Beerschot VA come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
The Goals Picture
RSC Anderlecht II are averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.71 conceded per game recently; Beerschot VA are on 1.68 scored and 1.15 conceded.
Defensively: Beerschot VA in 35% — worth knowing if you're weighing up clean-sheet or BTTS-No markets.
Last 34 Results — Challenger Pro League
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
RSC Anderlecht II
Early Season
Beerschot VA
Early Season
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA in coming into this match?
RSC Anderlecht II have gone 7W 10D 17L in their last 34 games (0.91 PPG), while Beerschot VA have gone 19W 6D 9L in their last 34 (1.85 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — RSC Anderlecht II at home or Beerschot VA away?
Beerschot VA's away record (1.76 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — RSC Anderlecht II at home: 0.94 PPG; Beerschot VA away: 1.76 PPG.
Have RSC Anderlecht II or Beerschot VA been keeping clean sheets recently?
RSC Anderlecht II have kept a clean sheet in 24% of their recent games, Beerschot VA in 35%.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
A Look Back
The fixture history between RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA runs to 9 recorded meetings, the earliest dating back to October 2022. Every recorded meeting has come in Challenger Pro League. The two were last together as recently as 29 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Digging Into the Numbers
There's a clear current trend here: Beerschot VA have taken the last 3 head-to-head results.
RSC Anderlecht II's record when hosting Beerschot VA specifically: 0W 0D 5L from 5 games — a narrower, venue-specific slice of the head-to-head picture.
Last 9 Meetings
1
RSC Anderlecht II
2
Draws
6
Beerschot VA
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA?
From 9 meetings on record, RSC Anderlecht II have won 1, Beerschot VA have won 6, and 2 have been drawn.
When did RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA last play each other?
They last met on 29 August 2026, when RSC Anderlecht II 0-1 Beerschot VA.
Who has won more matches between RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA?
Beerschot VA have the better head-to-head record, with 6 wins from 9 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Half-Time Trends
RSC Anderlecht II are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 12% of those situations.
Beerschot VA are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 76% of their matches. They've gone in front at half-time 35% of the time. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 18% of those situations.
The Numbers That Matter
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — RSC Anderlecht II 53%, Beerschot VA 47% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 65% (RSC Anderlecht II) and 47% (Beerschot VA). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 47% and 29% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: Beerschot VA in 41%; RSC Anderlecht II have failed to score in 35% of games.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = RSC Anderlecht II home games / Beerschot VA away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when RSC Anderlecht II play Beerschot VA?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 53% of RSC Anderlecht II's recent matches and 47% of Beerschot VA's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is RSC Anderlecht II vs Beerschot VA usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 65% of RSC Anderlecht II's matches and 47% of Beerschot VA's.
Do RSC Anderlecht II and Beerschot VA tend to score early?
RSC Anderlecht II have had a goal before half-time in 82% of their recent matches, Beerschot VA in 76% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as Beerschot VA defy the odds to beat RSC Anderlecht II 0-1.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
Beerschot VA beat RSC Anderlecht II 0-1 at Lotto Park, Regular Season - 3, in the Challenger Pro League. The remainder of the report sets that outcome against the pre-match model, the markets and the teams' data profiles.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting RSC Anderlecht II 1.27 xG and Beerschot VA 1.20 xG, a combined 2.47. The scoreboard read 0-1 for 1 actual goal. RSC Anderlecht II fell 1.3 short of their projected output. Those figures were built on strength ratings of RSC Anderlecht II attack 0.82 / defence 1.01 against Beerschot VA attack 0.91 / defence 1.00, drawn from 34/34 games (Blended).
On the result, the model split it RSC Anderlecht II 38% | Draw 27% | Beerschot VA 35%, with RSC Anderlecht II to win its most likely call at 38%. The actual Beerschot VA win had been the model's second-ranked read at 35%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 45%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — in line with the projection. Over 1.5 had been 71% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 50% and the match did not — a miss on BTTS. Historically the two sides average 59% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (RSC Anderlecht II 62%, Beerschot VA 56%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 56%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
RSC Anderlecht II's trading profile (34 games, 17 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 29% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Beerschot VA's trading profile (34 games, 17 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they keep a clean sheet 35% of the time, and duly kept one.
Form vs Result
On form, Beerschot VA arrived the stronger side — 1.85 PPG against 0.91. Form held, and they took the win. RSC Anderlecht II (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.29 scoring average — below par going forward. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.18 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (miss), form (hit). Partial vindication: some calls landed, others slipped.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.