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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Sat 5 Apr 2025

19:00

Venue

Soeverein Stadion

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lommel United Win

43%

Lommel United

2.30

27%

Draw

3.76

30%

KRC Genk II

3.33

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Lommel United xG

Total xG

2.51

1.11

KRC Genk II xG

43%
27%
30%
Lommel UnitedDrawKRC Genk II

2.30

43%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

3.33

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

33%

Lommel United

3.05

25%

KRC Genk II

4.04

Win to Nil

14%

Lommel United

7.02

7%

KRC Genk II

13.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.1 9.0 5.0 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 11.3 12.6 7.0 2.6 0.7 0.2
2 7.9 8.8 4.9 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 3.7 4.1 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.397
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 2.511
League avg home goals 1.357
League avg away goals 1.287
Lommel United attack strength 0.750
Lommel United defence strength 1.149
KRC Genk II attack strength 0.753
KRC Genk II defence strength 1.373
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56