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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Lokeren-Temse and Francs Borains share the spoils in a 2-2 draw.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

The points were shared at Daknamstadion, Regular Season - 12, as Lokeren-Temse and Francs Borains drew 2-2 in the Challenger Pro League. That is the final score; the rest of this report grades it against what the data forecast beforehand.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Lokeren-Temse 2.09 xG and Francs Borains 1.20 xG, a combined 3.29. The scoreboard read 2-2 for 4 actual goals. Francs Borains outscored their 1.20 projection by 0.8. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Lokeren-Temse attack 1.10 / defence 1.09 against Francs Borains attack 0.78 / defence 1.48, drawn from 39/39 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Lokeren-Temse 57% | Draw 23% | Francs Borains 20%, with Lokeren-Temse to win its most likely call at 57%. Instead the game produced a draw, an outcome the model had rated at just 23% — a clear break from expectation and a genuine upset by the numbers.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 64%. The game delivered 4, so it went over — the model's lean was correct. Over 1.5 had been 85% and landed. Over 3.5 was 42% and came in. On both teams to score, the model sat at 62% and the match saw both sides score — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 51% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Lokeren-Temse 44%, Francs Borains 59%), a base rate that agreed with today's over. Their combined BTTS history runs at 49%, which did not match the both-scored outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Lokeren-Temse's trading profile (39 games, 19 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 44% of their matches — today it did; they keep a clean sheet 33% of the time, and conceded here.

Francs Borains's trading profile (39 games, 19 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 54% of their matches — today it did.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Lokeren-Temse 1.41 PPG, Francs Borains 1.05 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the draw fit that even billing. Lokeren-Temse (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.16 average — above their attacking norm. Francs Borains (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.00 average — above their attacking norm.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). A mixed scorecard — the data caught the broad shape of the game but not every market.

💡 Key Insights