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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 9

Kick-off

Sun 5 Oct 2025

15:00

Venue

Stade de Rocourt

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

KRC Genk II Win

34%

Liège

2.96

29%

Draw

3.51

38%

KRC Genk II

2.65

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Liège xG

Total xG

2.44

1.26

KRC Genk II xG

34%
29%
38%
LiègeDrawKRC Genk II

2.96

34%

Home win

3.51

29%

Draw

2.65

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

44%

Over 2.5

2.27

56%

Under 2.5

1.79

23%

Over 3.5

4.35

77%

Under 3.5

1.30

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

50%

BTTS Yes

1.99

50%

BTTS No

2.01

Clean Sheet

28%

Liège

3.53

31%

KRC Genk II

3.25

Win to Nil

10%

Liège

10.46

12%

KRC Genk II

8.63

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.7 11.0 6.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
1 10.3 13.0 8.2 3.4 1.1 0.3
2 6.1 7.6 4.8 2.0 0.6 0.2
3 2.4 3.0 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.180
λ Away (xG) 1.262
Total xG 2.442
League avg home goals 1.124
League avg away goals 1.388
Liège attack strength 0.995
Liège defence strength 0.953
KRC Genk II attack strength 0.954
KRC Genk II defence strength 1.055
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 37 / 36