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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Challenger Pro League · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Fri 16 Jan 2026

19:00

Venue

Cegeka Arena

Competition

Challenger Pro League

Belgium

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Lommel United Win

29%

KRC Genk II

3.40

19%

Draw

5.22

51%

Lommel United

1.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 2

7.5%

Away win

Most likely

2 – 2

7.0%

Draw

1 – 1

6.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.86

KRC Genk II xG

Total xG

4.32

2.46

Lommel United xG

29%
19%
51%
KRC Genk IIDrawLommel United

3.40

29%

Home win

5.22

19%

Draw

1.94

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

93%

Over 1.5

1.08

7%

Under 1.5

14.29

80%

Over 2.5

1.25

20%

Under 2.5

5.00

63%

Over 3.5

1.59

37%

Under 3.5

2.70

43%

Over 4.5

2.33

57%

Under 4.5

1.75

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

77%

BTTS Yes

1.30

23%

BTTS No

4.38

Clean Sheet

9%

KRC Genk II

11.67

16%

Lommel United

6.42

Win to Nil

3%

KRC Genk II

39.68

8%

Lommel United

12.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 1.3 3.3 4.0 3.3 2.0 1.0
1 2.5 6.1 7.5 6.1 3.8 1.9
2 2.3 5.7 7.0 5.7 3.5 1.7
3 1.4 3.5 4.3 3.5 2.2 1.1
4 0.7 1.6 2.0 1.6 1.0 0.5
5 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.859
λ Away (xG) 2.457
Total xG 4.316
League avg home goals 1.353
League avg away goals 1.364
KRC Genk II attack strength 1.113
KRC Genk II defence strength 1.370
Lommel United attack strength 1.315
Lommel United defence strength 1.235
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 46 / 47