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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

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Beerschot VA cruise to a comfortable 0-2 victory over Francs Borains.

📝 Match Report

How It Unfolded

Beerschot VA beat Francs Borains 0-2 at Stade Robert Urbain, Regular Season - 27, in the Challenger Pro League. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.

The Model vs The Result

The Poisson model went into this projecting Francs Borains 0.92 xG and Beerschot VA 0.87 xG, a combined 1.79. The scoreboard read 0-2 for 2 actual goals. Francs Borains fell 0.9 short of their projected output. Beerschot VA outscored their 0.87 projection by 1.1. Those figures were built on strength ratings of Francs Borains attack 0.70 / defence 0.77 against Beerschot VA attack 0.84 / defence 0.98, drawn from 53/25 games (CurrentSeason).

On the result, the model split it Francs Borains 35% | Draw 33% | Beerschot VA 32%, with Francs Borains to win its most likely call at 35%. The actual Beerschot VA win had been the model's second-ranked read at 32%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.

Goals & Markets

The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 27%. The game delivered 2, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 53% and landed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 35% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 52% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (Francs Borains 51%, Beerschot VA 53%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 52%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.

Trading Patterns vs Reality

Francs Borains's trading profile (53 games, 26 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 47% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 34% of games, a blank that repeated today.

Beerschot VA's trading profile (53 games, 26 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 57% of their matches — today it did not.

Form vs Result

The form lines were close — Francs Borains 1.06 PPG, Beerschot VA 1.28 PPG — offering no strong steer, and the Beerschot VA win broke the near-deadlock. Francs Borains (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.00 scoring average — below par going forward. Beerschot VA (home/away splits) scored 2 against a 1.08 average — above their attacking norm and conceded 0 against a 1.69 average — tighter than their form line.

Verdict

Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 3 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.

💡 Key Insights