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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 19 September 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 19 September 2026. Artis vs Slovan Liberec led the list at 73% in the Czech Liga. The shortlist runs from 73% down to 44%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Artis
0 : 0 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 9%
Draw 18%
Win 73%
Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#2 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Fortuna Sittard
Win 14%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 68%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 69%
#3 Serie A Β· Italy
Venezia
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 15%
Draw 20%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 56%
#4 League One Β· England
Bromley
2 : 1 FT
Huddersfield
Win 11%
Draw 26%
Win 64%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%
#5 La Liga Β· Spain
Sevilla
1 : 3 FT
Barcelona
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#6 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Karlsruher SC
0 : 1 FT
1. FC Nürnberg
Win 23%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 80% BTTS Yes 75%
#7 League One Β· England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#8 Superettan Β· Sweden
Osters IF
1 : 3 FT
IFK Norrkoping
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Orgryte IS
1 : 2 FT
Sirius
Win 22%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Anyang
2 : 1 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers
0 : 1 FT
St Patrick's Athl.
Win 16%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 54%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3 : 4 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 25%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 71%
#13 Championship Β· England
Lincoln
1 : 2 FT
Swansea
Win 20%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 53%
#14 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 FT
Gornik Zabrze
Win 17%
Draw 32%
Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#15 Superettan Β· Sweden
United Nordic
1 : 4 FT
Landskrona BoIS
Win 26%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#16 Serie A Β· Brazil
Remo
1 : 2 FT
Santos
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France
Le Mans
2 : 1 FT
Lorient
Win 25%
Draw 29%
Win 46%
Under 2.5 55%
#18 League One Β· England
Barnsley
1 : 1 FT
Leicester
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy
Cremonese
0 : 0 FT
Virtus Entella
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 59%
#20 League One Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 0 FT
Stockport County
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 19 September 2026?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Artis vs Slovan Liberec at 73% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.