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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 25 July 2026

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

18 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 25 July 2026. Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen led the list at 52% in the K League 1. The shortlist runs from 52% down to 31%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 18 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the away win market — 44%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 K League 1 · South-Korea
Gimcheon Sangmu FC
3 : 2 FT
Daejeon Citizen
Win 16%
Draw 32%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#2 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Degerfors IF
0 : 1 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 21%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 52%
BTTS Yes 54%
#3 Veikkausliiga · Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 1 FT
AC Oulu
Win 23%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#4 Superettan · Sweden
IFK Varnamo
0 : 0 FT
IK brage
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Premier League · Russia
Akron
0 : 5 FT
Zenit
Win 30%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 43%
Under 2.5 56%
#6 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Zbrojovka Brno
3 : 1 FT
Sparta Praha
Win 29%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Under 2.5 55%
#7 Allsvenskan · Sweden
Kalmar FF
2 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 67%
#8 Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG
2 : 0 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 38%
Draw 24%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern
1 : 3 FT
FC Thun
Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#10 K League 1 · South-Korea
Pohang Steelers
0 : 2 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 24%
Draw 40%
Win 35%
✓ Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Waterford
Win 44%
Draw 21%
Win 35%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 80%
#12 Premier League · Russia
Fakel
1 : 2 FT
Dinamo Makhachkala
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 58%
#13 Super League · China
Shenyang Urban
0 : 1 FT
Qingdao Youth Island
Win 43%
Draw 24%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#14 Premier Division · Ireland
Sligo Rovers
2 : 2 FT
Drogheda United
Win 39%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Teplice
3 : 1 FT
Bohemians 1905
✓ Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 60%
#16 Super League · China
Qingdao Jonoon
0 : 2 FT
Tianjin Teda
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
BTTS Yes 54%
#17 Serie A · Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 1 FT
Mirassol
Win 41%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#18 Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Plzen
1 : 3 FT
Slovan Liberec
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 18 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 25 July 2026?

18 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Daejeon Citizen at 52% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.