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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 12 December 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Friday 12 December 2025. FC OSS vs ADO Den Haag sits top on 67% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
3 : 4 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 13%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 59%
#2 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3 : 3 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 14%
Draw 20%
Win 66%
✓ Over 2.5 54%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Obolon'-Brovar
1 : 3 FT
FC Kharkiv
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 63%
#4 Ligue 2 Β· France
Laval
1 : 2 FT
Dunkerque
Win 23%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 60%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Willem II
0 : 1 FT
Cambuur
Win 31%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 44%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Lommel United
2 : 0 FT
KAA Gent II
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#7 Ligue 2 Β· France
Nancy
1 : 0 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Union Berlin
3 : 1 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Ligue 2 Β· France
Rodez
2 : 1 FT
Guingamp
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong AZ
1 : 4 FT
Jong Utrecht
Win 39%
Draw 26%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#11 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Dynamo Dresden
2 : 3 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 40%
Draw 25%
Win 35%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
1 : 2 FT
Amiens
Win 42%
Draw 25%
Win 33%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Championship Β· England
West Brom
2 : 0 FT
Sheffield Utd
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 26%
Win 32%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Pisa
βœ“ Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 12 December 2025?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by FC OSS vs ADO Den Haag at 67% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.