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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Friday 14 February 2025

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

15 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 14 February 2025. Al Orubah vs Al Kholood led the list at 53% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 53% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Ligue 2 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 13%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al Orubah
2 : 0 FT
Al Kholood
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio
3 : 0 FT
Laval
Win 24%
Draw 27%
Win 48%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg
3 : 0 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 28%
Draw 26%
Win 46%
BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K.
0 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 54%
#5 Süper Lig · Turkey
Adana Demirspor
1 : 1 FT
Antalyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Premier League · England
Brighton
3 : 0 FT
Chelsea
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 39%
BTTS Yes 57%
#7 2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07
2 : 0 FT
Preußen Münster
Win 36%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 0 FT
Martigues
Win 35%
Draw 27%
Win 39%
#9 La Liga · Spain
Girona
1 : 2 FT
Getafe
Win 35%
Draw 27%
✓ Win 38%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Ligue 2 · France
Clermont Foot
1 : 1 FT
Bastia
Win 32%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#11 Premier Division · Ireland
Cork City
2 : 2 FT
Galway United
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 54%
#12 Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates
Al Bataeh
2 : 2 FT
Dibba Al Hisn
Win 38%
Draw 26%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Boavista
0 : 1 FT
Estrela
Win 32%
Draw 34%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 Bundesliga · Germany
FC Augsburg
0 : 0 FT
RB Leipzig
Win 39%
Draw 28%
Win 33%
BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Dordrecht
2 : 1 FT
Roda
✓ Win 47%
Draw 23%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 15 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 14 February 2025?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Orubah vs Al Kholood at 53% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.