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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Tuesday 29 October 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 14 fixtures on Tuesday 29 October 2024. Juve Stabia vs Sassuolo sits top on 51% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 51% down to 32%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Serie B supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 29%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B · Italy
Juve Stabia
2 : 2 FT
Sassuolo
Win 21%
Draw 28%
Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#2 Ligue 2 · France
Martigues
0 : 3 FT
Caen
Win 24%
Draw 26%
✓ Win 50%
Under 2.5 56%
#3 Ligue 2 · France
Estac Troyes
3 : 0 FT
PAU
Win 27%
Draw 24%
Win 48%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 56%
#4 Serie A · Italy
Lecce
1 : 0 FT
Hellas Verona
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 68%
#5 Ligue 2 · France
RED Star FC 93
1 : 0 FT
Metz
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 43%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie A · Italy
Cagliari
0 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 31%
Draw 28%
✓ Win 42%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Serie B · Italy
Modena
2 : 2 FT
Cremonese
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 League Two · England
Fleetwood Town
2 : 2 FT
Salford City
Win 28%
Draw 32%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 64%
#9 Serie B · Italy
Brescia
1 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 32%
Draw 32%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#10 League One · England
Stockport County
4 : 1 FT
Reading
✓ Win 39%
Draw 25%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#11 Ligue 2 · France
Bastia
2 : 2 FT
Rodez
Win 34%
Draw 31%
Win 35%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#12 Ligue 2 · France
Amiens
0 : 0 FT
Paris FC
Win 40%
Draw 27%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 League One · England
Stevenage
1 : 4 FT
Bolton
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 56%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
0 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 34%
Draw 34%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 14 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Tuesday 29 October 2024?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Juve Stabia vs Sassuolo at 51% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.