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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 16 June 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 16 June 2024. Criciuma vs Bahia sits top on 58% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 58% down to 30%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Serie A supplies seven of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the away win market — 27%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
Criciuma
2 : 2 FT
Bahia
Win 21%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vitoria
2 : 1 FT
Internacional
Win 18%
Draw 28%
Win 54%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%
#3 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Youth Island
0 : 1 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 28%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 48%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Serie A Β· Brazil
Cuiaba
5 : 0 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 21%
Draw 34%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 66%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil
Vasco DA Gama
0 : 0 FT
Cruzeiro
Win 33%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
1 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 31%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 38%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%
#7 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeonbuk Motors
2 : 2 FT
Incheon United
Win 39%
Draw 24%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daegu FC
1 : 0 FT
Jeju United FC
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Corinthians
2 : 2 FT
Sao Paulo
Win 33%
βœ“ Draw 34%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 72% BTTS No 63%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil
Atletico Paranaense
1 : 1 FT
Flamengo
Win 42%
Draw 28%
Win 31%
#11 Super League Β· China
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
0 : 1 FT
Qingdao Jonoon
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 60%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 16 June 2024?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Criciuma vs Bahia at 58% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.