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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Thursday 23 May 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 23 May 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr at 68% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 68% down to 31%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Pro League supplies six of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, two landed the away win market — 22%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
2 : 2 FT
Al-Nassr
Win 11%
Draw 22%
Win 68%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Raed
0 : 0 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Fayha
1 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Abha
2 : 1 FT
Al Khaleej Saihat
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 53%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ettifaq
1 : 0 FT
Al Shabab
Win 26%
Draw 37%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 1 FT
Damac
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 37%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Serie A Β· Italy
Cagliari
2 : 3 FT
Fiorentina
Win 38%
Draw 29%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Bochum
0 : 3 FT
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Win 42%
Draw 27%
Win 31%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 68%
#9 Superettan Β· Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC
2 : 1 FT
Oddevold
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 31%
Win 31%
Under 2.5 58%

Showing top 9 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Thursday 23 May 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr at 68% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.