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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 8 March 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 17 fixtures on Friday 8 March 2024. GO Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven sits top on 70% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 70% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, ten landed the away win market — 59%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 1 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 13%
Draw 17%
βœ“ Win 70%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 61%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Riyadh
1 : 3 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 11%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 66%
BTTS No 57%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Portimonense
0 : 3 FT
FC Porto
Win 24%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 48%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Championship Β· England
Sheffield Wednesday
0 : 2 FT
Leeds
Win 26%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#5 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
1 : 1 FT
LNZ Cherkasy
Win 26%
Draw 30%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estrela
3 : 1 FT
Casa Pia
Win 34%
Draw 24%
Win 42%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Fortuna Düsseldorf
2 : 0 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 35%
Draw 23%
Win 41%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Cambuur
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 37%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 77%
#9 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Ajax
0 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
Win 33%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 40%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 63%
#10 Premier Division Β· Ireland
St Patrick's Athl.
1 : 0 FT
Dundalk
Win 32%
Draw 28%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#11 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia
Al Taee
1 : 0 FT
Al-Hazm
Win 36%
Draw 24%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 73%
#12 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Bohemians
0 : 2 FT
Shelbourne
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#13 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Jong Utrecht
0 : 1 FT
Helmond Sport
Win 30%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#14 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Galway United
0 : 0 FT
Drogheda United
Win 36%
Draw 27%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#15 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Dnipro-1
0 : 1 FT
Ruh Lviv
Win 32%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Jagiellonia
3 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
βœ“ Win 35%
Draw 32%
Win 33%
Under 2.5 59%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
1 : 2 FT
Den Bosch
Win 38%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 17 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 8 March 2024?

17 fixtures met the criteria, led by GO Ahead Eagles vs PSV Eindhoven at 70% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.