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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability — Saturday 20 January 2024

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side — not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş at 67% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 67% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig · Turkey
Pendikspor
4 : 0 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 11%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%
#2 League One · England
Fleetwood Town
0 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
Win 13%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 65%
#3 Bundesliga · Germany
SV Darmstadt 98
2 : 2 FT
Eintracht Frankfurt
Win 16%
Draw 27%
Win 57%
#4 League One · England
Leyton Orient
1 : 0 FT
Bolton
Win 17%
Draw 30%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 54%
#5 Championship · England
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 24%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 League One · England
Lincoln
0 : 0 FT
Derby
Win 22%
Draw 26%
Win 52%
#7 Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln
0 : 4 FT
Borussia Dortmund
Win 22%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 49%
Under 2.5 53%
#8 Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen
1 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 29%
Draw 25%
Win 46%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 69%
#9 Championship · England
QPR
2 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 26%
Draw 28%
Win 46%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Serie A · Italy
Udinese
2 : 3 FT
AC Milan
Win 33%
Draw 23%
✓ Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 69%
#11 La Liga · Spain
Celta Vigo
0 : 1 FT
Real Sociedad
Win 25%
Draw 32%
✓ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#12 Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heracles
1 : 1 FT
FC Volendam
Win 32%
Draw 25%
Win 42%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#13 Serie B · Italy
Reggiana
2 : 2 FT
Como
Win 27%
Draw 33%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 59%
#14 Serie B · Italy
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Cremonese
Win 27%
Draw 33%
✓ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#15 Serie B · Italy
Cosenza
4 : 2 FT
Venezia
Win 29%
Draw 31%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#16 2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 2 FT
Hamburger SV
Win 39%
Draw 22%
✓ Win 39%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 74%
#17 Championship · England
Bristol City
1 : 1 FT
Watford
Win 35%
Draw 25%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Serie B · Italy
Feralpisalo
3 : 0 FT
Catanzaro
Win 31%
Draw 31%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 59%
#19 Serie B · Italy
Lecco
1 : 3 FT
Pisa
Win 33%
Draw 30%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 56%
#20 Primeira Liga · Portugal
Casa Pia
1 : 3 FT
Farense
Win 34%
Draw 29%
✓ Win 37%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (≥ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win — common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 20 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pendikspor vs Beşiktaş at 67% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.