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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Wednesday 20 December 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten matches cleared our threshold on Wednesday 20 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos at 46% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 46% down to 33%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Ligue 1 supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the away win market — 40%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece
Volos NFC
0 : 3 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 60%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
2 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 30%
Draw 25%
Win 45%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 66%
#3 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Kayserispor
3 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 25%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 44%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfL Wolfsburg
1 : 2 FT
Bayern München
Win 35%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Sharjah FC
1 : 1 FT
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Win 37%
Draw 25%
Win 38%
Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 70%
#6 La Liga Β· Spain
Villarreal
3 : 2 FT
Celta Vigo
Win 35%
Draw 28%
Win 36%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France
Strasbourg
2 : 1 FT
Lille
Win 29%
Draw 36%
Win 34%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 59%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany
1. FC Heidenheim
3 : 2 FT
SC Freiburg
βœ“ Win 36%
Draw 30%
Win 34%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
1 : 1 FT
Marseille
Win 36%
Draw 31%
Win 33%
✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Ligue 1 Β· France
Toulouse
1 : 2 FT
Monaco
Win 37%
Draw 30%
Win 33%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Wednesday 20 December 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos at 46% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.