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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 10 November 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Friday 10 November 2023. FC OSS vs MVV sits top on 56% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 30%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
FC OSS
0 : 1 FT
MVV
Win 21%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 67%
#2 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Cracovia Krakow
0 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 26%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Standard Liège II
3 : 1 FT
KRC Genk II
Win 30%
Draw 23%
Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
KVC Westerlo
3 : 3 FT
St. Truiden
Win 31%
Draw 28%
Win 41%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
1 : 2 FT
SV Elversberg
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Sukhothai FC
3 : 2 FT
Chonburi FC
Win 36%
Draw 26%
Win 39%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Dender
2 : 0 FT
Club Brugge II
βœ“ Win 38%
Draw 25%
Win 37%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France
Montpellier
0 : 0 FT
Nice
Win 30%
Draw 33%
Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#9 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Estoril
4 : 0 FT
Casa Pia
Win 35%
Draw 29%
Win 36%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#10 Championship Β· England
Blackburn
1 : 2 FT
Preston
Win 41%
Draw 27%
Win 32%
Under 2.5 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Telstar
1 : 2 FT
De Graafschap
Win 43%
Draw 27%
Win 30%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 10 November 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by FC OSS vs MVV at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.