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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 9 July 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 9 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Mariehamn vs AC Oulu at 55% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 55% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland
Mariehamn
1 : 2 FT
AC Oulu
Win 19%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#2 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Daejeon Citizen
2 : 2 FT
Suwon Bluewings
Win 29%
Draw 30%
Win 41%
Under 2.5 56%
#3 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Rosenborg
1 : 2 FT
Lillestrom
Win 34%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Superettan Β· Sweden
Skövde AIK
0 : 0 FT
Gais
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Stromsgodset
5 : 2 FT
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Win 33%
Draw 29%
Win 38%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 55%
#6 Primera División Β· Chile
Union La Calera
1 : 1 FT
Cobresal
Win 34%
Draw 27%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 56%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Kalmar FF
0 : 4 FT
IF Elfsborg
Win 33%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 59%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway
ODD Ballklubb
0 : 2 FT
Bodo/Glimt
Win 35%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 36%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#9 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Atlético Ottawa
2 : 0 FT
Valour
βœ“ Win 37%
Draw 32%
Win 30%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway
Tromso
0 : 0 FT
Valerenga
Win 45%
Draw 25%
Win 30%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%
#11 Serie A Β· Brazil
Gremio
0 : 2 FT
Botafogo
Win 44%
Draw 26%
Win 30%
BTTS Yes 54%

Showing top 11 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 9 July 2023?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Mariehamn vs AC Oulu at 55% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.