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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Friday 7 July 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 7 July 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers at 56% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 56% down to 30%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, five landed the away win market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland
Drogheda United
0 : 0 FT
Shamrock Rovers
Win 18%
Draw 26%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#2 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
3 : 1 FT
Chengdu Better City
Win 21%
Draw 27%
Win 52%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland
UCD
0 : 4 FT
Shelbourne
Win 21%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#4 Super League Β· China
Qingdao Jonoon
1 : 1 FT
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
0 : 1 FT
Union Espanola
Win 32%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 39%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#6 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Gangwon FC
1 : 1 FT
Gwangju FC
Win 31%
Draw 30%
Win 38%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#7 Superettan Β· Sweden
Landskrona BoIS
1 : 1 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 43%
Draw 23%
Win 34%
Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Super League Β· China
Hangzhou Greentown
0 : 1 FT
Shanghai Shenhua
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#9 Super League Β· China
Henan Jianye
0 : 1 FT
Shandong Luneng
Win 37%
Draw 31%
Win 32%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#10 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 2 FT
Daegu FC
Win 39%
Draw 31%
Win 30%
Under 2.5 59%

Showing top 10 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Friday 7 July 2023?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers at 56% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.