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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 20 May 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 20 May 2023. America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC sits top on 59% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 59% down to 41%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the away win market — 45%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro
2 : 1 FT
Fortaleza EC
Win 13%
Draw 28%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 56%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia
FC Orenburg
2 : 2 FT
Zenit
Win 21%
Draw 24%
Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Premier League Β· Russia
Torpedo Moskva
0 : 3 FT
Dynamo
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Famalicao
2 : 4 FT
FC Porto
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#5 Premier League Β· England
Nottingham Forest
1 : 0 FT
Arsenal
Win 25%
Draw 22%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Ligue 1 Β· France
Nantes
0 : 3 FT
Montpellier
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%
#7 Primera División Β· Chile
Nublense
1 : 1 FT
Universidad de Chile
Win 28%
Draw 23%
Win 49%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 Ligue 2 Β· France
Guingamp
1 : 1 FT
Metz
Win 27%
Draw 25%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil
Coritiba
1 : 2 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 22%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 59%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland
FC Winterthur
0 : 1 FT
Servette FC
Win 28%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 46%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 65%
#11 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada
Valour
1 : 1 FT
Pacific FC
Win 20%
Draw 35%
Win 45%
✓ Under 2.5 60%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany
Werder Bremen
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#13 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
FC Seoul
1 : 1 FT
Jeju United FC
Win 29%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Arminia Bielefeld
2 : 2 FT
SC Paderborn 07
Win 31%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria
TSV Hartberg
0 : 2 FT
Wolfsberger AC
Win 33%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Lechia Gdansk
1 : 0 FT
Legia Warszawa
Win 27%
Draw 30%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#17 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Boavista
1 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 32%
Draw 26%
Win 42%
#18 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Oleksandria
1 : 5 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 31%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 41%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 55%
#19 Super League Β· China
Meizhou Kejia
0 : 2 FT
SHANGHAI SIPG
Win 22%
Draw 38%
βœ“ Win 41%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 5 FT
Bologna
Win 32%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 41%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 20 May 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC at 59% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.