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Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Sunday 2 April 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 2 April 2023. Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk led the list at 75% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 75% down to 37%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Chornomorets
2 : 2 FT
Shakhtar Donetsk
Win 10%
Draw 16%
Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 62%
#2 Ligue 1 Β· France
Angers
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 12%
Draw 21%
Win 67%
Over 2.5 56%
#3 Premier League Β· Ukraine
FC Kharkiv
0 : 3 FT
Dnipro-1
Win 15%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 65%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 55%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Austria Klagenfurt
0 : 3 FT
Red Bull Salzburg
Win 20%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Chaves
1 : 2 FT
SC Braga
Win 23%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
Rio Ave
0 : 1 FT
Benfica
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 63%
#7 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
GO Ahead Eagles
0 : 0 FT
Ajax
Win 25%
Draw 23%
Win 53%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 69%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy
Monza
0 : 2 FT
Lazio
Win 20%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
AS Eupen
0 : 1 FT
Anderlecht
Win 25%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 51%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Lviv
0 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 25%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#11 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Teplice
1 : 0 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 24%
Draw 28%
Win 48%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 62%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 3 FT
Feyenoord
Win 26%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 47%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Ümraniyespor
2 : 2 FT
Konyaspor
Win 32%
Draw 24%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#14 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium
Beerschot VA
1 : 1 FT
RWDM
Win 29%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#15 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Dibba Al-Fujairah
1 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
Win 32%
Draw 27%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 55%
#16 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Halmstad
2 : 1 FT
AIK Stockholm
Win 33%
Draw 27%
Win 40%
✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands
Den Bosch
0 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 38%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 39%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 65%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Hatayspor
0 : 3 FT
Sivasspor
Win 37%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 38%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 59%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Jeju United FC
1 : 3 FT
Ulsan Hyundai FC
Win 27%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 37%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 53%
#20 K League 1 Β· South-Korea
Suwon Bluewings
1 : 1 FT
Gangwon FC
Win 29%
Draw 34%
Win 37%
✓ Under 2.5 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Sunday 2 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Chornomorets vs Shakhtar Donetsk at 75% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.