Sign in Register
✈️

Away Win Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest predicted away win probability β€” Saturday 1 April 2023

Away wins are statistically rarer and often carry better odds. Our prediction model calculates each team's true ability independent of venue, meaning high away win probabilities reflect a genuinely superior away side β€” not just a weak home team. Only fixtures with 30%+ away win probability are listed.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 1 April 2023. Seraing United vs Gent sits top on 63% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 63% down to 40%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the away win market — 55%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Seraing United
0 : 5 FT
Gent
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Serie A Β· Italy
Cremonese
1 : 3 FT
Atalanta
Win 20%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 53%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain
Elche
0 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany
FC Schalke 04
0 : 3 FT
Bayer Leverkusen
Win 21%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Championship Β· England
Huddersfield
4 : 2 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 23%
Draw 25%
Win 52%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#6 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Dhafra
2 : 4 FT
Baniyas SC
Win 27%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Minai
1 : 2 FT
Inhulets
Win 28%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 46%
Under 2.5 56%
#8 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Excelsior
0 : 0 FT
Twente
Win 27%
Draw 28%
Win 45%
BTTS Yes 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England
Bournemouth
2 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 28%
Draw 27%
Win 44%
Under 2.5 56%
#10 League Two Β· England
Hartlepool
2 : 1 FT
Swindon Town
Win 31%
Draw 26%
Win 44%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Ligue 2 Β· France
PAU
0 : 1 FT
Le Havre
Win 22%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 76% ✓ BTTS No 68%
#12 Premier League Β· Ukraine
Metal Kharkiv
0 : 0 FT
Kolos Kovalivka
Win 26%
Draw 31%
Win 43%
✓ Under 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS No 64%
#13 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Oostende
1 : 3 FT
Standard Liege
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 43%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#14 Premier League Β· Russia
Nizhny Novgorod
0 : 4 FT
Lokomotiv
Win 32%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 42%
BTTS Yes 56%
#15 Bundesliga Β· Austria
SCR Altach
1 : 0 FT
WSG Wattens
Win 30%
Draw 28%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#16 Bundesliga Β· Austria
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 0 FT
Ried
Win 33%
Draw 26%
Win 41%
BTTS Yes 53%
#17 Championship Β· England
Norwich
0 : 1 FT
Sheffield Utd
Win 29%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 54%
#18 Super League 1 Β· Greece
PAS Giannina
0 : 1 FT
OFI
Win 23%
Draw 36%
βœ“ Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 62%
#19 League Two Β· England
Colchester
0 : 0 FT
Newport County
Win 26%
Draw 34%
Win 40%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#20 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Legia Warszawa
3 : 1 FT
Raków Częstochowa
Win 31%
Draw 29%
Win 40%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by away win probability (β‰₯ 30%). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Away Win β€” common questions

What does the Away Win market mean?

Away Win settles on whether a match is won by the away side. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate away win probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The away win probability shown here is the sum of every scoreline where the away side finishes ahead. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Away Win on Saturday 1 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Seraing United vs Gent at 63% away win probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 30% or higher away win probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these away win predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.