SCR Altach 1-0 WSG Wattens – Result & Analysis
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Poisson rates WSG Wattens at 42% — current form provides partial corroboration, though signals are mixed in this SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens encounter.
✍️ Match Preview
Pre-Match Analysis
SCR Altach and WSG Wattens meet at CASHPOINT Arena in Bundesliga, Relegation Round - 1. This fixture gets under way on Saturday 1 April 2023 at 16:00 UTC.
Form & Momentum
SCR Altach have collected 0.60 PPG across 10 Bundesliga outings this season: 1W 3D 6L. Last five: L D L L D. They are averaging 0.70 goals per game and conceding 1.80 — a modest attacking output that tempers optimism on the Over 2.5 market. 1 clean sheet from 10 outings provides some defensive foundation. This season is still relatively young for SCR Altach, so this record blends games from this season and last.
At home at CASHPOINT Arena, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 6L this season (10 games, 0.80 PPG). At home they are averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has landed in 60% of their home matches — a rate that supports the Yes angle in this fixture.
WSG Wattens (all games): 4W 2D 4L across 10 Bundesliga outings this term — 1.40 points per game. Last five: L D L L L. They are scoring at 1.50 per game and conceding 1.40. 3 clean sheets from 10 outings suggests some defensive organisation. This season is still relatively young for WSG Wattens, so this record blends games from this season and last.
When travelling in Bundesliga this season, WSG Wattens have posted 5W 1D 4L from 10 away outings — 1.60 PPG. They are averaging 1.80 goals per away game — strong road scoring that makes them a threat even without home support. Both teams have scored in 70% of their away matches — a high BTTS rate on the road that directly informs this fixture.
WSG Wattens arrive in superior form — a 0.80 PPG advantage (1.40 vs 0.60) that offsets much of the home-ground benefit. The away side are the form pick, with draw protection the sensible way to manage the home-field uncertainty.
In terms of goals, both squads have been finding the net consistently (using home/away splits) — SCR Altach have seen both teams score in 60% of their games, WSG Wattens in 70%. That combined rate is a strong statistical case for BTTS Yes as a standalone play.
Trading Data
SCR Altach goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (54 games, 27 at home): they score before half-time in 78% of fixtures in home games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 60% of the time; BTTS occurs in 52% of their matches (home games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 44% of games (home games); they fail to score in 46% of games.
WSG Wattens goal-timing and half-time pattern breakdown (54 games, 27 at away): they score before half-time in 82% of fixtures in away games; when goalless at HT, a second-half goal follows 62% of the time; BTTS occurs in 56% of their matches (away games); Over 2.5 goals lands in 70% of games (away games); Over 3.5 in 43%; they fail to score in 32% of games.
BTTS rates are mixed from the trading data — SCR Altach 46% versus WSG Wattens 56%; no strong lean in either direction. The over/under 2.5 picture is inconclusive from the in-play data (SCR Altach 57% | WSG Wattens 67%).
Poisson Model
The Poisson distribution model projects SCR Altach 1.02 xG and WSG Wattens 1.26 xG. These expected goals figures are the primary input: they feed a goal-probability matrix across all scoreline combinations to derive the result and market probabilities below. Underlying strength ratings: SCR Altach attack 0.768 / defence 0.998 | WSG Wattens attack 0.949 / defence 0.964. League average goals — home 1.380 / away 1.334. SCR Altach's attack strength of 0.768 is below the league average — the 1.02 xG projection reflects a team that scores at a discount to the division norm. Data: 44 SCR Altach games / 44 WSG Wattens games used (CurrentSeason).
Result probabilities: SCR Altach 30% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 42%. Fair-value odds: SCR Altach 3.33 | Draw 3.57 | WSG Wattens 2.38. This is a low-confidence result — no outcome exceeds 45%. The draw at 28% is a primary outcome, not an afterthought.
Goals markets: Over 2.5 probability 40% | BTTS probability 46% | Total xG 2.29. Under 2.5 has a narrow probability edge at 60% — total xG of 2.29 is below the line but not decisively so. BTTS probability of 46% is moderate — neither team is projected to score with enough certainty to make Yes a clear standalone call.
Verdict
The Poisson model's primary lean is WSG Wattens at 42% — marginal model lean. Current-season form corroborates the Poisson lean — partial multi-source support. Draw probability of 28% warrants consideration of Double Chance or Draw No Bet on WSG Wattens if the outright odds are short. The opposing side holds a 30% win probability per the model — this is not a banker and should be staked accordingly.
On the goals line, Poisson's 2.29 combined xG gives a 40% probability to Under 2.5 — Poisson-only — limited corroboration — though form averaging only 2.9 goals per game points in the other direction.
The Poisson model's BTTS call is No at 46%. This conflicts with form data: SCR Altach 60% | WSG Wattens 70% from recent games — a notable divergence.
🔮 Your Prediction
Sign in to submit your prediction and see how it compares to the rest of the community.
💡 Key Insights
🏟️ Match Context
• Fixture: SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens | Competition: Bundesliga, Relegation Round - 1 | Venue: CASHPOINT Arena • Kick-off: Saturday 1 Apr 2023, 16:00 UTC • Data inputs: H2H history, form splits, prediction model signals, and market pricing
📊 Statistical Prediction
• Poisson result probabilities: SCR Altach 30% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 42% • Poisson goal markets: Over 2.5 40% | BTTS 46% | xG SCR Altach 1.02 / WSG Wattens 1.26 • Poisson strength factors: SCR Altach attack 0.768 / def 0.998 | WSG Wattens attack 0.949 / def 0.964 | league avg home 1.380 / away 1.334 • Poisson stance: WSG Wattens (42%) — low confidence — close contest
🧮 Prediction Model
1.02
SCR Altach xG
Expected Goals
1.26
WSG Wattens xG
46%
BTTS
67%
Over 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
20%
Over 3.5
Full score-by-score matrix & model internals in the "Full Poisson Detail" section below ↓
⚠️ This analysis is generated algorithmically from statistical data and is intended for informational purposes only. It does not constitute betting advice. Please gamble responsibly.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What time does SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kick off?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens kicked off at 16:00 on Saturday 1 April 2023 at CASHPOINT Arena.
What was the final score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach 1 - 0 WSG Wattens.
Where is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens being played?
The match is being played at CASHPOINT Arena.
What competition is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens part of?
SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens is a Relegation Round - 1 fixture in the Bundesliga (Austria).
Who is favourite to win SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our statistical model gives SCR Altach a 30% chance of winning, WSG Wattens a 42% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw — making WSG Wattens the favourite.
Will both teams score in SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our model estimates a 46% probability that both SCR Altach and WSG Wattens will score (BTTS).
Will SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens have over 2.5 goals?
Our model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals in this match at 40%.
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
No recorded head-to-head meetings available in the dataset.
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in?
SCR Altach (all comps): 1W-3D-6L in 10 | 0.60 PPG | GF 0.70 / GA 1.80 | L5 L-D-L-L-D. WSG Wattens (all comps): 4W-2D-4L in 10 | 1.40 PPG | GF 1.50 / GA 1.40 | L5 L-D-L-L-L.
🧮 Model Insight
Where the Numbers Come From
SCR Altach's attacking strength (0.77x league average) is weighed against WSG Wattens's defensive record (0.96x) to produce a home expected-goals figure of 1.02. Flip it around — WSG Wattens's attack (0.95x) against SCR Altach's defence (1.00x) — and the away total comes out at 1.26.
These ratings are built from 44/44 games of current-season data — a full enough sample to trust.
Most Likely Scorelines
The model's single most probable exact score is 1-1, at 14.8%. Close behind: 0-0 (11.9%), 0-1 (11.1%). Those top three scorelines alone account for 38% of the model's total probability mass — a relatively concentrated, predictable distribution for this fixture.
Most Likely Outcome
WSG Wattens Win
30%
3.34
28%
3.54
42%
2.39
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 1
13.1%
Draw
Most likely
0 – 1
12.9%
Away win
1 – 0
10.4%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.02
SCR Altach xG
Total xG
2.29
1.26
WSG Wattens xG
3.34
30%
Home win
3.54
28%
Draw
2.39
42%
Away win
Goals Markets
67%
Over 1.5
1.49
33%
Under 1.5
3.03
40%
Over 2.5
2.50
60%
Under 2.5
1.67
20%
Over 3.5
5.00
80%
Under 3.5
1.25
8%
Over 4.5
12.50
92%
Under 4.5
1.09
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
46%
BTTS Yes
2.18
54%
BTTS No
1.85
Clean Sheet
28%
3.54
36%
2.78
Win to Nil
8%
11.83
15%
6.64
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2 | 12.9 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 8.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 5.3 | 6.7 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 0.6 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – | – |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · Outlined cell = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the most likely scoreline for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Our Poisson model rates 1-1 as the single most likely exact scoreline, at 14.8%.
How many goals are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens expected to score?
The model projects 1.02 expected goals for SCR Altach and 1.26 for WSG Wattens, a combined total of 2.29.
How confident is the prediction model for SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens?
Not very — the model's leading outcome sits at just 42%, meaning this is rated as a genuinely open contest with no dominant favourite.
📈 Form Insight
Recent Form Overview
SCR Altach's recent record stands at 11W 13D 30L from 54 games, a 0.85 PPG return, with L-D-L-L-D in the last five. The sample for SCR Altach is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
WSG Wattens, meanwhile, have gone 19W 11D 24L across 54 games — 1.26 PPG, with L-D-L-L-L in their last five. The sample for WSG Wattens is still a mix of this season and last, given how young the current campaign is.
The points-per-game comparison favours WSG Wattens by 0.41 — a real, if not enormous, edge over SCR Altach heading into this one.
How They Fare by Venue
At home specifically, SCR Altach have managed 4W 9D 14L from 27 games — 0.78 PPG in front of their own supporters.
WSG Wattens's away record stands at 10W 3D 14L across 27 trips, a 1.22 PPG haul.
Comparing the two in their relevant venue splits, WSG Wattens come out ahead — a more targeted read than the overall PPG figures above, since it strips out games played in the opposite context.
Attack vs Defence
SCR Altach are averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game recently; WSG Wattens are on 1.44 scored and 1.80 conceded.
Last 54 Results — Bundesliga
Current season: same league only · Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams)
SCR Altach
Blended
WSG Wattens
Blended
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What form are SCR Altach and WSG Wattens in coming into this match?
SCR Altach have gone 11W 13D 30L in their last 54 games (0.85 PPG), while WSG Wattens have gone 19W 11D 24L in their last 54 (1.26 PPG).
Which team has the better venue record — SCR Altach at home or WSG Wattens away?
WSG Wattens's away record (1.22 PPG) is the stronger of the two venue-specific splits — SCR Altach at home: 0.78 PPG; WSG Wattens away: 1.22 PPG.
⚔️ Rivalry Insight
The Rivalry So Far
These sides have met 10 times that we have on record, stretching back to May 2024 — a rivalry that has played out across roughly 2 years. Every recorded meeting has come in Bundesliga. The two were last together as recently as 7 August 2026, so this form is fresh in the memory.
Notable Numbers
For context on how one-sided this fixture can get: SCR Altach won 3-0 on 26 Apr 2025, the biggest margin either side has managed in the series.
Specifically as hosts in this fixture, SCR Altach have gone 2W 2D 1L from 5 meetings on their own ground against WSG Wattens — worth weighing alongside the overall series record.
Last 10 Meetings
4
SCR Altach
3
Draws
3
WSG Wattens
Recent Meetings
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
What is the head-to-head record between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
From 10 meetings on record, SCR Altach have won 4, WSG Wattens have won 3, and 3 have been drawn.
When did SCR Altach and WSG Wattens last play each other?
They last met on 7 August 2026, when SCR Altach 3-1 WSG Wattens.
Who has won more matches between SCR Altach and WSG Wattens?
SCR Altach have the better head-to-head record, with 4 wins from 10 meetings.
📈 Trading Insight
Early Goal Trends
SCR Altach are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 78% of their matches. They've also shown some fight from behind, salvaging a draw or win after trailing at half-time in 11% of those situations.
WSG Wattens are typically involved in an early goal — the half-time board shows at least one in 82% of their matches.
Full-Time Markets
BTTS sits in mixed territory for this pairing — SCR Altach 52%, WSG Wattens 56% — no strong lean either way from the trading data alone.
Over 2.5 has been close to a coin-flip for both sides — 44% (SCR Altach) and 70% (WSG Wattens). Stepping up a level, Over 3.5 has also landed reasonably often — 22% and 37% respectively — worth a look for goal-hungry markets.
On the defensive side: SCR Altach have failed to score in 44% of games; WSG Wattens in 30%.
Current season: same league only. Previous season: all leagues (covers promoted/relegated teams). All = any venue | Venue = SCR Altach home games / WSG Wattens away games. HT metrics require half-time score data — shown as — where unavailable.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
Do both teams usually score when SCR Altach play WSG Wattens?
Not especially — both teams scoring has occurred in only 52% of SCR Altach's recent matches and 56% of WSG Wattens's, a rate that leans toward BTTS No.
Is SCR Altach vs WSG Wattens usually a high-scoring fixture?
Recent trends suggest it could be — Over 2.5 goals has landed in 44% of SCR Altach's matches and 70% of WSG Wattens's.
Do SCR Altach and WSG Wattens tend to score early?
SCR Altach have had a goal before half-time in 78% of their recent matches, WSG Wattens in 82% — a useful reference point for first-half goal markets.
Shock result as SCR Altach defy the odds to beat WSG Wattens 1-0.
📝 Match Report
How It Unfolded
SCR Altach beat WSG Wattens 1-0 at CASHPOINT Arena, Relegation Round - 1, in the Bundesliga. With the result on the board, the sections below measure it against everything the model and the numbers projected in advance.
The Model vs The Result
The Poisson model went into this projecting SCR Altach 1.02 xG and WSG Wattens 1.26 xG, a combined 2.29. The scoreboard read 1-0 for 1 actual goal. WSG Wattens landed 1.3 under their projected return. Those figures were built on strength ratings of SCR Altach attack 0.77 / defence 1.00 against WSG Wattens attack 0.95 / defence 0.96, drawn from 44/44 games (CurrentSeason).
On the result, the model split it SCR Altach 30% | Draw 28% | WSG Wattens 42%, with WSG Wattens to win its most likely call at 42%. The actual SCR Altach win had been the model's second-ranked read at 30%, so the result diverged from the top call without being a shock.
Goals & Markets
The model rated Over 2.5 goals at 40%. The game delivered 1, so it stayed under — a call the model got right. Over 1.5 had been 67% and missed. On both teams to score, the model sat at 46% and the match did not — another call in the model's favour. Historically the two sides average 62% Over 2.5 across their same-competition games (SCR Altach 57%, WSG Wattens 67%), a base rate that pointed the other way from today's under. Their combined BTTS history runs at 51%, which did not match the one-sided outcome.
Trading Patterns vs Reality
SCR Altach's trading profile (54 games, 27 home) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 46% of their matches — today it did not.
WSG Wattens's trading profile (54 games, 27 away) set some clear expectations: BTTS lands in 56% of their matches — today it did not; they fail to score in 32% of games, a blank that repeated today.
Form vs Result
On form, WSG Wattens arrived the stronger side — 1.26 PPG against 0.85. Form was overturned, with SCR Altach winning despite arriving in poorer recent shape. SCR Altach (home/away splits) conceded 0 against a 1.56 average — tighter than their form line. WSG Wattens (home/away splits) managed 0 against a 1.37 scoring average — below par going forward and conceded 1 against a 2.00 average — tighter than their form line.
Verdict
Grading the result against the stored data, 2 of 4 pre-match signals came in: result (miss), Over 2.5 (hit), BTTS (hit), form (miss). The model got the gist right while missing on the margins.
💡 Key Insights
⚠️ This match report is generated algorithmically from the final score, our prediction model, and each team's historical form and trading data. Analysis is for informational purposes only.